· Analysis updated 06:44 UTC
UKS Łódź W vs GKS Katowice W Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.53 expected goals for UKS Łódź W and 1.85 for GKS Katowice W, a combined total of 3.38. That distribution gives GKS Katowice W the largest share of the 1X2 market at 46%, with the draw at 22%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 66% for over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 46% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
GKS Katowice W win
45.5% probability
Expected goals
1.53 – 1.85
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
UKS Łódź W home form
4 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
GKS Katowice W away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 4 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates GKS Katowice W to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 46%, against 32% / 22% / 46% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.53 goals for UKS Łódź W and 1.85 for GKS Katowice W, a combined 3.38 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
54%
Double chance 12
78%
Double chance X2
68%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–19.7%
- 1–28.9%
- 2–17.4%
- 2–26.8%
- 0–16.3%
Recent form
UKS Łódź W
- 2026-10-04T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Legia W · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-09-26T10:00:00.000Z · H vs Pogon Szczecin W · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-08-22T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Akademia Piłkarska LG W · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-08-15T10:00:00.000Z · H vs Sleza Wroclaw W · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-08-08T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Slask Wroclaw W · 1-1 (D)
GKS Katowice W
- 2026-10-18T11:00:00.000Z · H vs UJ Krakow W · 3-0 (W)
- 2026-10-03T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Górnik Łęczna W · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-09-26T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Legia W · 6-0 (W)
- 2026-08-22T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Sleza Wroclaw W · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-08-16T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Czarni Sosnowiec W · 3-3 (D)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Ekstraliga Women table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | GKS Katowice W | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 19 |
| 2 | Górnik Łęczna W | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 16 |
| 3 | Pogon Szczecin W | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 15 |
| 4 | Czarni Sosnowiec W | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 14 |
| 5 | Akademia Piłkarska LG W | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 14 |
| 6 | Legia W | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | -4 | 10 |
| 7 | UJ Krakow W | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | -5 | 10 |
| 8 | Sleza Wroclaw W | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -8 | 7 |
| 9 | Rekord Bielsko-Biala W | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -8 | 7 |
| 10 | Lech Poznan W | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -9 | 7 |
| 11 | UKS Łódź W | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -7 | 6 |
| 12 | Slask Wroclaw W | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | -10 | 3 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is GKS Katowice W win, at 45.5%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 66% and over 2.5 goals at 66%.
A 46% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.