· Analysis updated 19:27 UTC
Ulaangom City vs Hunters Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.56 expected goals for Ulaangom City and 3.96 for Hunters, a combined total of 5.52. That distribution gives Hunters the largest share of the 1X2 market at 79%, with the draw at 11%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 89% for over 2.5 goals and 76% for both teams to score, with 1–3 the single most likely scoreline at 7%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 79% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Hunters win
78.9% probability
Expected goals
1.56 – 3.96
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Ulaangom City home form
1 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Hunters away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Hunters to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 79%, against 10% / 11% / 79% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.56 goals for Ulaangom City and 3.96 for Hunters, a combined 5.52 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
21%
Double chance 12
89%
Double chance X2
90%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–36.5%
- 1–46.4%
- 1–55.1%
- 2–35.0%
- 2–45.0%
Recent form
Ulaangom City
- 2026-09-30T05:00:00.000Z · H vs Hunters · 2-4 (L)
- 2026-09-26T08:00:00.000Z · A vs Central Stallions · 1-4 (L)
- 2026-09-20T08:00:00.000Z · H vs Deren · 0-5 (L)
- 2026-09-16T08:00:00.000Z · A vs Khovd Western · 1-4 (L)
- 2026-09-13T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Erchim · 0-1 (L)
Hunters
- 2026-10-05T08:00:00.000Z · H vs Amtat FC · 6-1 (W)
- 2026-09-30T05:00:00.000Z · A vs Ulaangom City · 4-2 (W)
- 2026-09-27T08:00:00.000Z · A vs Ulaanbaatar · 3-5 (L)
- 2026-09-17T08:00:00.000Z · A vs Central Stallions · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-09-12T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Deren · 1-2 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Premier League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ulaanbaatar | 9 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 36 | 25 |
| 2 | Central Stallions | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 21 |
| 3 | Deren | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 19 | 20 |
| 4 | Hunters | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 15 |
| 5 | Khovd | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 10 |
| 6 | Erchim | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | -18 | 9 |
| 7 | Amtat FC | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | -23 | 9 |
| 8 | Khovd Western | 9 | 2 | 0 | 7 | -23 | 6 |
| 9 | Ulaangom City | 7 | 0 | 0 | 7 | -24 | 0 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Hunters win, at 78.9%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–3.
It puts both teams scoring at 76% and over 2.5 goals at 89%.
A 79% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.