Jessheim Stadion · Analysis updated 17:12 UTC
Ull/Kisa vs Tromsdalen Uil Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.98 expected goals for Ull/Kisa and 1.93 for Tromsdalen Uil, a combined total of 3.90. That distribution gives Ull/Kisa the largest share of the 1X2 market at 41%, with the draw at 21%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 75% for over 2.5 goals and 74% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 8%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 41% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Home/Draw
61.5% probability
Expected goals
1.98 – 1.93
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Ull/Kisa home form
1 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Tromsdalen Uil away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 10 of the last 10 meetings.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
62%
Double chance 12
79%
Double chance X2
60%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–17.7%
- 2–17.6%
- 1–27.4%
- 2–27.3%
- 3–15.0%
Recent form
Ull/Kisa
- 2026-09-26T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Stjørdals-Blink · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-09-20T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Junkeren · 2-3 (L)
- 2026-09-11T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Eidsvold · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-09-06T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Levanger · 0-5 (L)
- 2026-08-30T10:00:00.000Z · A vs Rana · 1-2 (L)
Tromsdalen Uil
- 2026-09-27T15:30:00.000Z · A vs Hønefoss · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-09-20T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Skeid · 6-0 (W)
- 2026-09-16T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Grorud · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-09-13T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Trygg/Lade · 3-1 (W)
- 2026-09-08T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Strommen · 9-1 (W)
Head-to-head
- 2026-08-02T14:00:00.000Z · Ull/Kisa 1-2 Tromsdalen Uil (2. Division - Group 2)
- 2026-04-12T13:00:00.000Z · Ull/Kisa 1-5 Tromsdalen Uil (2. Division - Group 2)
- 2025-10-19T11:00:00.000Z · Ull/Kisa 3-6 Tromsdalen Uil (2. Division - Group 2)
- 2025-07-27T13:00:00.000Z · Ull/Kisa 2-3 Tromsdalen Uil (2. Division - Group 2)
- 2024-09-08T14:30:00.000Z · Ull/Kisa 2-1 Tromsdalen Uil (2. Division - Group 2)
- 2024-06-22T13:30:00.000Z · Ull/Kisa 1-1 Tromsdalen Uil (2. Division - Group 2)
- 2023-08-06T14:00:00.000Z · Ull/Kisa 1-1 Tromsdalen Uil (2. Division - Group 2)
- 2023-06-23T16:30:00.000Z · Ull/Kisa 1-2 Tromsdalen Uil (2. Division - Group 2)
- 2022-09-11T15:00:00.000Z · Ull/Kisa 1-3 Tromsdalen Uil (2. Division - Group 2)
- 2022-05-14T11:00:00.000Z · Ull/Kisa 2-2 Tromsdalen Uil (2. Division - Group 2)
2. Division - Group 2 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Eidsvold | 23 | 17 | 3 | 3 | 35 | 54 |
| 2 | Kjelsås | 23 | 16 | 2 | 5 | 21 | 50 |
| 3 | Levanger | 23 | 15 | 1 | 7 | 26 | 46 |
| 4 | Hønefoss | 23 | 14 | 4 | 5 | 23 | 46 |
| 5 | Grorud | 23 | 14 | 4 | 5 | 22 | 46 |
| 6 | Tromsdalen Uil | 23 | 11 | 2 | 10 | 2 | 35 |
| 7 | Lørenskog | 23 | 10 | 4 | 9 | -4 | 34 |
| 8 | Stjørdals-Blink | 23 | 10 | 3 | 10 | -1 | 33 |
| 9 | Junkeren | 23 | 9 | 4 | 10 | -7 | 31 |
| 10 | Rana | 23 | 9 | 3 | 11 | -3 | 30 |
| 11 | Skeid | 23 | 6 | 2 | 15 | -19 | 20 |
| 12 | Follo | 23 | 3 | 5 | 15 | -23 | 14 |
| 13 | Ull/Kisa | 23 | 4 | 1 | 18 | -44 | 13 |
| 14 | Trygg/Lade | 23 | 2 | 4 | 17 | -28 | 10 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 61.5%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 74% and over 2.5 goals at 75%.
A 62% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.