· Analysis updated 18:24 UTC
Ulm U19 vs Hoffenheim U19 Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.18 expected goals for Ulm U19 and 3.25 for Hoffenheim U19, a combined total of 4.43. That distribution gives Hoffenheim U19 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 77%, with the draw at 13%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 81% for over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score, with 1–3 the single most likely scoreline at 8%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 77% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Hoffenheim U19 win
77.3% probability
Expected goals
1.18 – 3.25
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Ulm U19 home form
4 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Hoffenheim U19 to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 77%, against 10% / 13% / 77% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.18 goals for Ulm U19 and 3.25 for Hoffenheim U19, a combined 4.43 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 81% and both teams to score at 66%, with 1–3 the single most likely scoreline at 8%.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
23%
Double chance 12
87%
Double chance X2
90%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–38.0%
- 1–27.4%
- 0–36.9%
- 1–46.5%
- 0–26.3%
Recent form
Ulm U19
- 2026-10-25T10:00:00.000Z · A vs Heidenheim U19 · 0-7 (L)
- 2026-10-17T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Hoffenheim U19 · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-10-10T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Sandhausen U19 · 5-0 (W)
- 2026-09-13T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Stuttgarter K'rs U19 · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-05T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Karlsruher SC U19 · 0-1 (L)
Hoffenheim U19
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Hoffenheim U19 win, at 77.3%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–3.
It puts both teams scoring at 66% and over 2.5 goals at 81%.
A 77% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.