Umea Energi Arena · Analysis updated 23:44 UTC
Umeå W vs Enskede W Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.97 expected goals for Umeå W and 1.32 for Enskede W, a combined total of 3.29. That distribution gives Umeå W the largest share of the 1X2 market at 53%, with the draw at 22%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 64% for over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 53% favourite still loses or draws roughly 47% of the time.
Model pick
Umeå W to Win
52.6% probability
Expected goals
1.97 – 1.32
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
75%
Double chance 12
78%
Double chance X2
47%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–19.7%
- 2–19.5%
- 1–07.4%
- 2–07.2%
- 1–26.4%
Why the model likes this
Most likely outcome
The model rates Umeå W to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 53%, against 53% / 22% / 26% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.97 goals for Umeå W and 1.32 for Enskede W, a combined 3.29 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 64% and both teams to score at 63%, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%.
Model confidence
Umeå W to Win is the headline pick at 53% with low confidence, built from team strength, home advantage and competition baselines while season data is still limited.
Recent form
Umeå W
Enskede W
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Elitettan table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Elfsborg W | 14 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 26 | 34 |
| 2 | Linköping W | 14 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 15 | 33 |
| 3 | Göteborg W | 14 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 23 | 31 |
| 4 | KIF Örebro W | 14 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 31 |
| 5 | Umeå W | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 21 |
| 6 | Trelleborg W | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 21 |
| 7 | Enskede W | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | -2 | 18 |
| 8 | Örebro SK W | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 18 |
| 9 | Jitex W | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | -4 | 18 |
| 10 | Husqvarna W | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | -5 | 16 |
| 11 | Alingsås W | 14 | 2 | 5 | 7 | -10 | 11 |
| 12 | Gamla Upsala W | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | -9 | 10 |
| 13 | Sandviken W | 14 | 1 | 3 | 10 | -28 | 6 |
| 14 | Häcken II W | 14 | 0 | 1 | 13 | -20 | 1 |
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.