· Analysis updated 12:31 UTC
UN Kaerjeng 97 vs F91 Dudelange Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.20 expected goals for UN Kaerjeng 97 and 1.73 for F91 Dudelange, a combined total of 3.93. That distribution gives UN Kaerjeng 97 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 49%, with the draw at 20%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 75% for over 2.5 goals and 73% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 8%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 49% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
UN Kaerjeng 97 win
49.0% probability
Expected goals
2.20 – 1.73
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
UN Kaerjeng 97 home form
12 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
F91 Dudelange away threat
Scored in 2 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates UN Kaerjeng 97 to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 49%, against 49% / 20% / 31% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.20 goals for UN Kaerjeng 97 and 1.73 for F91 Dudelange, a combined 3.93 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
69%
Double chance 12
80%
Double chance X2
51%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–18.2%
- 1–17.5%
- 2–27.1%
- 1–26.5%
- 3–16.0%
Recent form
UN Kaerjeng 97
- 2026-09-20T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Syra Mensdorf · 9-1 (W)
- 2026-09-16T18:00:00.000Z · A vs F91 Dudelange · 4-2 (W)
- 2026-09-11T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Victoria Rosport · 5-0 (W)
- 2026-09-06T14:00:00.000Z · A vs FC Differdange 03 · 1-4 (L)
- 2026-08-30T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Swift Hesperange · 6-0 (W)
F91 Dudelange
- 2026-09-20T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Young Boys · 3-1 (W)
- 2026-09-16T18:00:00.000Z · H vs UN Kaerjeng 97 · 2-4 (L)
- 2026-09-12T15:00:00.000Z · A vs US Hostert · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-09-06T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Racing FC Union Luxembourg · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-08-30T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Wiltz · 2-1 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is UN Kaerjeng 97 win, at 49.0%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 73% and over 2.5 goals at 75%.
A 49% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.