· Analysis updated 14:26 UTC
Uničov vs Blansko Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.38 expected goals for Uničov and 1.53 for Blansko, a combined total of 3.90. That distribution gives Uničov the largest share of the 1X2 market at 57%, with the draw at 19%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 75% for over 2.5 goals and 71% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 57% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
Model pick
Uničov win
56.5% probability
Expected goals
2.38 – 1.53
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Uničov home form
10 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Blansko away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Uničov to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 57%, against 57% / 19% / 24% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.38 goals for Uničov and 1.53 for Blansko, a combined 3.90 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
76%
Double chance 12
81%
Double chance X2
44%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–18.7%
- 1–17.3%
- 3–16.9%
- 2–26.6%
- 2–05.7%
Recent form
Uničov
- 2026-10-04T08:15:00.000Z · H vs Polanka nad Odrou · 3-1 (W)
- 2026-09-27T08:15:00.000Z · A vs Havířov · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-09-20T08:15:00.000Z · H vs Uherský Brod · 4-3 (W)
- 2026-09-13T08:15:00.000Z · H vs Sigma Olomouc II · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-05T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Frýdek-Místek · 1-1 (D)
Blansko
- 2026-09-20T08:15:00.000Z · A vs Karviná II · 5-3 (W)
- 2026-09-12T08:30:00.000Z · H vs Vítkovice · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-09-06T08:30:00.000Z · A vs Zlín II · 1-4 (L)
- 2026-09-02T14:30:00.000Z · H vs Polanka nad Odrou · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-08-29T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Líšeň II · 0-4 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
3. liga - MSFL table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Líšeň II | 11 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 16 | 25 |
| 2 | Zbrojovka Brno II | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 23 |
| 3 | Uničov | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 23 |
| 4 | Frýdek-Místek | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 21 |
| 5 | Sigma Olomouc II | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 19 |
| 6 | Hranice | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 17 |
| 7 | Vítkovice | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 16 |
| 8 | Unie Hlubina | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 15 |
| 9 | Slovácko II | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 15 |
| 10 | Uherský Brod | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 15 |
| 11 | Zlín II | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | -3 | 15 |
| 12 | Hodonín | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 14 |
| 13 | Vrchovina | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | -7 | 14 |
| 14 | Karviná II | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | -6 | 11 |
| 15 | Vsetín | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | -13 | 10 |
| 16 | Blansko | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | -12 | 8 |
| 17 | Polanka nad Odrou | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | -10 | 6 |
| 18 | Havířov | 11 | 0 | 5 | 6 | -14 | 5 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Uničov win, at 56.5%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 71% and over 2.5 goals at 75%.
A 57% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.