· Analysis updated 14:41 UTC
Uničov vs Zlin Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.76 expected goals for Uničov and 1.30 for Zlin, a combined total of 3.06. That distribution gives Uničov the largest share of the 1X2 market at 49%, with the draw at 23%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 59% for over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 49% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Uničov win
48.5% probability
Expected goals
1.76 – 1.30
Model version
poisson-v1
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Uničov home form
10 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Zlin away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Uničov to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 49%, against 49% / 23% / 28% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.76 goals for Uničov and 1.30 for Zlin, a combined 3.06 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
72%
Double chance 12
77%
Double chance X2
52%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–110.7%
- 2–19.5%
- 1–08.3%
- 2–07.3%
- 1–26.9%
Recent form
Uničov
- 2026-10-04T08:15:00.000Z · H vs Polanka nad Odrou · 3-1 (W)
- 2026-09-27T08:15:00.000Z · A vs Havířov · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-09-20T08:15:00.000Z · H vs Uherský Brod · 4-3 (W)
- 2026-09-13T08:15:00.000Z · H vs Sigma Olomouc II · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-05T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Frýdek-Místek · 1-1 (D)
Zlin
- 2026-10-02T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Prostějov · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-09-20T13:00:00.000Z · A vs FK Jablonec · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-16T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Havířov · 4-0 (W)
- 2026-09-13T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Hradec Králové · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-09-06T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Teplice · 1-3 (L)
Head-to-head
- 2026-08-25T15:30:00.000Z · Uničov 0-2 Zlin (Cup)
- 2023-10-11T13:00:00.000Z · Uničov 1-2 Zlin (Cup)
- 2021-06-26T08:30:00.000Z · Uničov 1-5 Zlin (Friendlies Clubs)
- 2019-08-28T15:00:00.000Z · Uničov 1-4 Zlin (Cup)
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Uničov win, at 48.5%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 60% and over 2.5 goals at 59%.
A 49% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.