Czech-Republic · 3. liga - MSFL · MSFL - 1212:30
Unie HlubinaLLDDD

1 – 0

Saturday, 17 October 2026

BlanskoDLWDL

Stadion Hlubina · Analysis updated 13:40 UTC

Unie Hlubina vs Blansko Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 3.54 expected goals for Unie Hlubina and 1.69 for Blansko, a combined total of 5.22. That distribution gives Unie Hlubina the largest share of the 1X2 market at 72%, with the draw at 13%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 88% for over 2.5 goals and 78% for both teams to score, with 3–1 the single most likely scoreline at 7%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 72% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Unie Hlubina win

72.0% probability

High confidenceLow data42/100

Expected goals

3.54 – 1.69

Model version

poisson-v2

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Unie Hlubina home form

    8 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Blansko away threat

    Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Unie Hlubina to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 72%, against 72% / 13% / 15% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 3.54 goals for Unie Hlubina and 1.69 for Blansko, a combined 5.22 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Unie Hlubina win72%
Draw13%
Blansko win15%

Double chance 1X

85%

Double chance 12

87%

Double chance X2

28%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals96%
Over 2.5 goals88%
Over 3.5 goals75%
Both teams to score78%

Correct score

  • 3–16.7%
  • 4–15.9%
  • 2–15.7%
  • 3–25.7%
  • 4–25.0%

Recent form

Unie Hlubina

  • 2026-09-19T13:30:00.000Z · H vs Polanka nad Odrou · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-09-13T08:15:00.000Z · A vs Havířov · 0-0 (D)
  • 2026-09-05T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Uherský Brod · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-09-02T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Hranice · 4-1 (W)
  • 2026-08-30T08:15:00.000Z · A vs Uničov · 0-3 (L)

Blansko

  • 2026-09-20T08:15:00.000Z · A vs Karviná II · 5-3 (W)
  • 2026-09-12T08:30:00.000Z · H vs Vítkovice · 0-0 (D)
  • 2026-09-06T08:30:00.000Z · A vs Zlín II · 1-4 (L)
  • 2026-09-02T14:30:00.000Z · H vs Polanka nad Odrou · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-08-29T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Líšeň II · 0-4 (L)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

3. liga - MSFL table

Full league page →
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Líšeň II117401625
2Zbrojovka Brno II11722823
3Uničov11722823
4Frýdek-Místek11632921
5Sigma Olomouc II11614719
6Hranice11524517
7Vítkovice11443316
8Unie Hlubina11434415
9Slovácko II11434415
10Uherský Brod11434015
11Zlín II11434-315
12Hodonín11425114
13Vrchovina11425-714
14Karviná II11326-611
15Vsetín11317-1310
16Blansko11155-128
17Polanka nad Odrou11137-106
18Havířov11056-145

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Unie Hlubina win, at 72.0%. Its single most likely scoreline is 3–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 78% and over 2.5 goals at 88%.

A 72% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.