Unie Hlubina vs Polanka nad Odrou Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 2.28 expected goals for Unie Hlubina and 1.25 for Polanka nad Odrou, a combined total of 3.53. That distribution gives Unie Hlubina the largest share of the 1X2 market at 60%, with the draw at 20%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 68% for over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 60% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Unie Hlubina win

60.4% probability

Moderate confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

2.28 – 1.25

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

Unie Hlubina home form
8 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Polanka nad Odrou away threat
Scored in 6 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 3 of the last 6 meetings.

Match result (1X2)

Unie Hlubina win60%

Draw20%

Polanka nad Odrou win20%

Double chance 1X

80%

Double chance 12

80%

Double chance X2

40%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals87%

Over 2.5 goals68%

Over 3.5 goals47%

Both teams to score64%

Correct score

2–19.5%
1–18.4%
2–07.6%
3–17.2%
1–06.7%

Recent form

Unie Hlubina

2026-09-19T13:30:00.000Z · H vs Polanka nad Odrou · 1-1 (D)
2026-09-13T08:15:00.000Z · A vs Havířov · 0-0 (D)
2026-09-05T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Uherský Brod · 1-1 (D)
2026-09-02T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Hranice · 4-1 (W)
2026-08-30T08:15:00.000Z · A vs Uničov · 0-3 (L)

Polanka nad Odrou

2026-10-18T08:15:00.000Z · A vs Havířov · 1-3 (L)
2026-10-11T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Uherský Brod · 4-0 (W)
2026-10-04T08:15:00.000Z · A vs Uničov · 1-3 (L)
2026-09-27T13:30:00.000Z · H vs Frýdek-Místek · 1-0 (W)
2026-09-19T13:30:00.000Z · A vs Unie Hlubina · 1-1 (D)

Head-to-head

2026-05-31T15:00:00.000Z · Unie Hlubina 4-2 Polanka nad Odrou (3. liga - MSFL)
2025-10-25T12:30:00.000Z · Unie Hlubina 5-1 Polanka nad Odrou (3. liga - MSFL)
2024-03-23T14:00:00.000Z · Unie Hlubina 1-1 Polanka nad Odrou (4. liga - Divizie F)
2023-08-20T14:30:00.000Z · Unie Hlubina 2-0 Polanka nad Odrou (4. liga - Divizie F)
2023-04-01T13:30:00.000Z · Unie Hlubina 1-0 Polanka nad Odrou (4. liga - Divizie F)
2022-08-21T14:30:00.000Z · Unie Hlubina 0-0 Polanka nad Odrou (4. liga - Divizie F)

3. liga - MSFL table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Líšeň II	13	8	5	0	17	29
2	Uničov	13	9	2	2	13	29
3	Frýdek-Místek	14	8	3	3	10	27
4	Zbrojovka Brno II	14	8	3	3	8	27
5	Hranice	13	7	2	4	7	23
6	Sigma Olomouc II	13	7	1	5	6	22
7	Uherský Brod	14	6	3	5	1	21
8	Vítkovice	14	5	4	5	0	19
9	Slovácko II	13	5	3	5	6	18
10	Unie Hlubina	13	5	3	5	2	18
11	Hodonín	14	5	2	7	2	17
12	Vrchovina	14	5	2	7	-13	17
13	Zlín II	13	4	3	6	-6	15
14	Karviná II	13	4	2	7	-4	14
15	Havířov	14	2	5	7	-11	11
16	Blansko	14	2	5	7	-14	11
17	Vsetín	13	3	1	9	-16	10
18	Polanka nad Odrou	13	2	3	8	-8	9

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Unie Hlubina win, at 60.4%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 64% and over 2.5 goals at 68%.

A 60% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Methodology Results Log

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.