Czech-Republic · 3. liga - MSFL · MSFL - 115:30
Unie HlubinaWWLLL

8 – 2

Friday, 31 July 2026

Stadion Hlubina · Analysis updated 00:40 UTC

Unie Hlubina vs Zbrojovka Brno II Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 2.43 expected goals for Unie Hlubina and 2.33 for Zbrojovka Brno II, a combined total of 4.76. That distribution gives Unie Hlubina the largest share of the 1X2 market at 43%, with the draw at 19%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 85% for over 2.5 goals and 82% for both teams to score, with 2–2 the single most likely scoreline at 7%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 43% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Home/Draw

61.4% probability

Moderate confidenceLow data42/100

Expected goals

2.43 – 2.33

Model version

poisson-v2

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Unie Hlubina home form

    5 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.

  • Zbrojovka Brno II away threat

    Scored in 5 of their last 5 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Unie Hlubina to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 43%, against 43% / 19% / 39% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 2.43 goals for Unie Hlubina and 2.33 for Zbrojovka Brno II, a combined 4.76 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Unie Hlubina win43%
Draw19%
Zbrojovka Brno II win39%

Double chance 1X

61%

Double chance 12

81%

Double chance X2

58%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals95%
Over 2.5 goals85%
Over 3.5 goals70%
Both teams to score82%

Correct score

  • 2–26.9%
  • 2–15.9%
  • 1–25.6%
  • 3–25.6%
  • 2–35.3%

Recent form

Unie Hlubina

  • 2026-10-25T15:30:00.000Z · A vs Líšeň II · 2-1 (W)
  • 2026-10-17T12:30:00.000Z · H vs Blansko · 1-0 (W)
  • 2026-10-11T08:15:00.000Z · A vs Slovácko II · 2-5 (L)
  • 2026-10-03T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Hodonín · 1-4 (L)
  • 2026-09-26T13:30:00.000Z · A vs Vrchovina · 2-3 (L)

Zbrojovka Brno II

  • 2026-10-24T12:30:00.000Z · A vs Vítkovice · 2-4 (L)
  • 2026-10-18T08:15:00.000Z · H vs Zlín II · 4-2 (W)
  • 2026-10-13T15:30:00.000Z · A vs Líšeň II · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-10-04T08:15:00.000Z · H vs Blansko · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-09-25T13:30:00.000Z · A vs Slovácko II · 1-0 (W)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

3. liga - MSFL table

Full league page →
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Uničov1410221432
2Líšeň II148511629
3Frýdek-Místek148331027
4Zbrojovka Brno II14833827
5Sigma Olomouc II148151125
6Hranice14725523
7Unie Hlubina14635321
8Uherský Brod14635121
9Vítkovice14545019
10Slovácko II14536518
11Zlín II14536-418
12Hodonín14527217
13Karviná II14527-217
14Vrchovina14527-1317
15Havířov14257-1111
16Blansko14257-1411
17Vsetín143110-1810
18Polanka nad Odrou14239-139

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 61.4%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–2.

It puts both teams scoring at 82% and over 2.5 goals at 85%.

A 61% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.