JAZ LINZ SÜD Edelweiß · Analysis updated 19:50 UTC
Union Edelweiß vs Weißkirchen / Allhaming Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.15 expected goals for Union Edelweiß and 1.00 for Weißkirchen / Allhaming, a combined total of 2.15. That distribution gives Union Edelweiß the largest share of the 1X2 market at 39%, with the draw at 29%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 36% for over 2.5 goals and 43% for both teams to score, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 13%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 39% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Home/Draw
68.5% probability
Expected goals
1.15 – 1.00
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Union Edelweiß home form
5 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Weißkirchen / Allhaming away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 8 of the last 10 meetings.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
69%
Double chance 12
71%
Double chance X2
61%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–013.4%
- 1–113.4%
- 0–011.6%
- 0–111.6%
- 2–07.7%
Recent form
Union Edelweiß
- 2026-06-13T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Gschwandt · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-06-06T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Bad Schallerbach · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-05-30T15:00:00.000Z · A vs SK Vorwarts Steyr · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-05-23T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Mondsee · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-05-15T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Weißkirchen / Allhaming · 2-3 (L)
Weißkirchen / Allhaming
- 2026-06-13T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Vortuna Bad Leonfelden · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-06-06T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Gschwandt · 3-3 (D)
- 2026-05-30T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Bad Schallerbach · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-05-23T15:00:00.000Z · H vs SK Vorwarts Steyr · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-05-15T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Union Edelweiß · 3-2 (W)
Head-to-head
- 2026-05-15T17:00:00.000Z · Union Edelweiß 2-3 Weißkirchen / Allhaming (Landesliga - Oberosterreich)
- 2025-10-10T17:00:00.000Z · Union Edelweiß 2-1 Weißkirchen / Allhaming (Landesliga - Oberosterreich)
- 2025-04-04T17:00:00.000Z · Union Edelweiß 2-3 Weißkirchen / Allhaming (Landesliga - Oberosterreich)
- 2024-08-30T17:00:00.000Z · Union Edelweiß 1-1 Weißkirchen / Allhaming (Landesliga - Oberosterreich)
- 2024-04-12T17:00:00.000Z · Union Edelweiß 2-0 Weißkirchen / Allhaming (Landesliga - Oberosterreich)
- 2023-09-15T17:00:00.000Z · Union Edelweiß 3-3 Weißkirchen / Allhaming (Landesliga - Oberosterreich)
- 2023-03-10T18:00:00.000Z · Union Edelweiß 1-1 Weißkirchen / Allhaming (Landesliga - Oberosterreich)
- 2022-08-12T17:30:00.000Z · Union Edelweiß 2-2 Weißkirchen / Allhaming (Landesliga - Oberosterreich)
- 2022-05-27T17:00:00.000Z · Union Edelweiß 2-3 Weißkirchen / Allhaming (Landesliga - Oberosterreich)
- 2021-10-29T17:30:00.000Z · Union Edelweiß 0-1 Weißkirchen / Allhaming (Landesliga - Oberosterreich)
Landesliga - Oberosterreich table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SK Vorwarts Steyr | 29 | 18 | 5 | 6 | 32 | 59 |
| 2 | Vortuna Bad Leonfelden | 28 | 17 | 3 | 8 | 20 | 54 |
| 3 | Bad Schallerbach | 29 | 15 | 5 | 9 | 20 | 50 |
| 4 | Union Perg | 28 | 13 | 10 | 5 | 15 | 49 |
| 5 | Weißkirchen / Allhaming | 27 | 13 | 6 | 8 | 11 | 45 |
| 6 | Friedburg / Pöndorf | 27 | 12 | 8 | 7 | 15 | 44 |
| 7 | Union Edelweiß | 29 | 12 | 8 | 9 | 3 | 44 |
| 8 | Mondsee | 29 | 12 | 6 | 11 | 6 | 42 |
| 9 | Ostermiething | 28 | 12 | 4 | 12 | 1 | 40 |
| 10 | Union Vöcklamarkt | 28 | 11 | 6 | 11 | -1 | 39 |
| 11 | St. Martin i.M. | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 1 | 38 |
| 12 | Oedt | 25 | 9 | 5 | 11 | 5 | 32 |
| 13 | Bad Ischl | 29 | 9 | 3 | 17 | -34 | 30 |
| 14 | Pregarten | 28 | 5 | 6 | 17 | -21 | 21 |
| 15 | Gschwandt | 28 | 5 | 5 | 18 | -43 | 20 |
| 16 | Grün Weiß Micheldorf | 28 | 4 | 6 | 18 | -30 | 18 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 68.5%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–0.
It puts both teams scoring at 43% and over 2.5 goals at 36%.
A 69% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.