Sportplatz an der Mühlenstraße · Analysis updated 14:28 UTC
Union Klosterfelde vs Dynamo Schwerin Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.44 expected goals for Union Klosterfelde and 1.41 for Dynamo Schwerin, a combined total of 2.85. That distribution gives Union Klosterfelde the largest share of the 1X2 market at 38%, with the draw at 25%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 54% for over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 38% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Home/Draw
63.1% probability
Expected goals
1.44 – 1.41
Model version
poisson-v1
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Union Klosterfelde home form
9 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Dynamo Schwerin away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Union Klosterfelde to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 38%, against 38% / 25% / 37% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.44 goals for Union Klosterfelde and 1.41 for Dynamo Schwerin, a combined 2.85 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
63%
Double chance 12
75%
Double chance X2
62%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–111.8%
- 2–18.4%
- 1–08.3%
- 1–28.3%
- 0–18.2%
Recent form
Union Klosterfelde
- 2026-09-27T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Sparta Lichtenberg · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-09-18T16:30:00.000Z · A vs Reinickendorfer Fuchse · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-09-13T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Optik Rathenow · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-08-29T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Siedenbollentin · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-08-16T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Lichtenberg · 2-1 (W)
Dynamo Schwerin
- 2026-05-30T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Union Klosterfelde · 2-3 (L)
- 2026-05-16T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Lichtenberg · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-05-10T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Croatia Berlin · 5-0 (W)
- 2026-05-01T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Hansa Rostock II · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-04-24T17:30:00.000Z · A vs Optik Rathenow · 0-0 (D)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Oberliga - Nordost-Nord table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Eintracht Mahlsdorf | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 16 |
| 2 | Hertha Zehlendorf | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 15 |
| 3 | BAK '07 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 15 |
| 4 | Siedenbollentin | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 14 |
| 5 | Reinickendorfer Fuchse | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 14 |
| 6 | Lichtenberg | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 13 |
| 7 | Anker Wismar | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 13 |
| 8 | Tennis Borussia | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 12 |
| 9 | Hansa Rostock II | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 10 |
| 10 | Optik Rathenow | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | -2 | 10 |
| 11 | Mecklenburg Schwerin | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | -3 | 9 |
| 12 | FC Lok Stendal | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -3 | 8 |
| 13 | Union Klosterfelde | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -6 | 8 |
| 14 | Makkabi | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -10 | 8 |
| 15 | Neustrelitz | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | -6 | 6 |
| 16 | Sparta Lichtenberg | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -6 | 6 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 63.1%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 58% and over 2.5 goals at 54%.
A 63% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.