Union Sandersdorf vs ZFC Meuselwitz Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.61 expected goals for Union Sandersdorf and 2.17 for ZFC Meuselwitz, a combined total of 3.78. That distribution gives ZFC Meuselwitz the largest share of the 1X2 market at 51%, with the draw at 21%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 73% for over 2.5 goals and 71% for both teams to score, with 1–2 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 51% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

ZFC Meuselwitz win

50.6% probability

Low confidenceLow data42/100

Expected goals

1.61 – 2.17

Model version

poisson-v2

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

Union Sandersdorf home form
9 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Most likely outcome
The model rates ZFC Meuselwitz to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 51%, against 29% / 21% / 51% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.61 goals for Union Sandersdorf and 2.17 for ZFC Meuselwitz, a combined 3.78 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 73% and both teams to score at 71%, with 1–2 the single most likely scoreline at 9%.

Match result (1X2)

Union Sandersdorf win29%

Draw21%

ZFC Meuselwitz win51%

Double chance 1X

49%

Double chance 12

79%

Double chance X2

71%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals89%

Over 2.5 goals73%

Over 3.5 goals52%

Both teams to score71%

Correct score

1–28.6%
1–18.0%
2–27.0%
2–16.4%
1–36.3%

Recent form

Union Sandersdorf

2026-10-18T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Budissa Bautzen · 3-1 (W)
2026-10-10T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Plauen · 3-3 (D)
2026-09-25T16:30:00.000Z · H vs VfL Halle · 1-4 (L)
2026-09-20T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Germania Halberstadt · 1-3 (L)
2026-09-11T16:30:00.000Z · H vs ZFC Meuselwitz · 0-1 (L)

ZFC Meuselwitz

2026-09-11T16:30:00.000Z · A vs Union Sandersdorf · 1-0 (W)
2026-08-30T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Weissenfels · 3-2 (W)
2026-08-16T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Krieschow · 1-0 (W)
2026-08-09T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Empor Glauchau · 2-0 (W)
2026-07-25T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn. · 3-3 (D)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Oberliga - Nordost-Süd table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	ZFC Meuselwitz	9	7	2	0	13	23
2	Auerbach	9	6	2	1	13	20
3	Germania Halberstadt	9	6	1	2	15	19
4	VfL Halle	9	6	0	3	4	18
5	Eilenburg	9	5	1	3	12	16
6	Dresden II	9	3	5	1	7	14
7	Plauen	9	3	4	2	4	13
8	SC Freital	9	3	4	2	2	13
9	Weissenfels	9	4	0	5	-2	12
10	Union Sandersdorf	9	3	1	5	2	10
11	Empor Glauchau	9	2	3	4	-2	9
12	Budissa Bautzen	9	2	3	4	-7	9
13	Einheit Wernigerode	9	1	5	3	-9	8
14	Krieschow	9	2	2	5	-12	8
15	Einheit Rudolstadt	9	0	3	6	-18	3
16	FC Frankfurt	9	1	0	8	-22	3

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is ZFC Meuselwitz win, at 50.6%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–2.

It puts both teams scoring at 71% and over 2.5 goals at 73%.

A 51% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Methodology Results Log

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.