· Analysis updated 10:03 UTC
Unirea Alba Iulia W vs Gloria Bistrița-Năsăud W Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.90 expected goals for Unirea Alba Iulia W and 2.64 for Gloria Bistrița-Năsăud W, a combined total of 4.54. That distribution gives Gloria Bistrița-Năsăud W the largest share of the 1X2 market at 54%, with the draw at 18%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 83% for over 2.5 goals and 79% for both teams to score, with 1–2 the single most likely scoreline at 7%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 54% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Gloria Bistrița-Năsăud W win
53.9% probability
Expected goals
1.90 – 2.64
Model version
poisson-v1
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Unirea Alba Iulia W home form
12 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Gloria Bistrița-Năsăud W away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Gloria Bistrița-Năsăud W to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 54%, against 28% / 18% / 54% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.90 goals for Unirea Alba Iulia W and 2.64 for Gloria Bistrița-Năsăud W, a combined 4.54 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
46%
Double chance 12
82%
Double chance X2
72%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–27.1%
- 2–26.7%
- 1–36.2%
- 2–35.9%
- 1–15.4%
Recent form
Unirea Alba Iulia W
- 2026-05-30T08:00:00.000Z · A vs Vasas Femina W · 7-2 (W)
- 2026-05-24T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Gloria Bistrița-Năsăud W · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-05-17T08:00:00.000Z · A vs Atletic Olimpia Gherla W · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-05-10T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Vasas Femina W · 6-2 (W)
- 2026-05-03T08:00:00.000Z · A vs Gloria Bistrița-Năsăud W · 1-1 (D)
Gloria Bistrița-Năsăud W
- 2026-09-27T08:00:00.000Z · H vs Univ. Craiova W · 13-1 (W)
- 2026-09-20T08:00:00.000Z · H vs FC Rapid Bucuresti W · 5-2 (W)
- 2026-09-13T08:00:00.000Z · A vs Vasas Femina W · 15-0 (W)
- 2026-09-05T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Farul Constanţa W · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-08-30T10:00:00.000Z · A vs SSU Poli Timişoara W · 1-0 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Liga 1 Feminin table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gloria Bistrița-Năsăud W | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 31 | 18 |
| 2 | Csikszereda MC W | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 18 |
| 3 | Farul Constanţa W | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 45 | 15 |
| 4 | SSU Poli Timişoara W | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 23 | 12 |
| 5 | Olimpia Cluj W | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 12 |
| 6 | FC Rapid Bucuresti W | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | -12 | 6 |
| 7 | Univ. Craiova W | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | -46 | 3 |
| 8 | Vasas Femina W | 7 | 0 | 0 | 7 | -64 | 0 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Gloria Bistrița-Năsăud W win, at 53.9%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–2.
It puts both teams scoring at 79% and over 2.5 goals at 83%.
A 54% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.