Romania · Liga III - Serie 8 · Group 8 - 514:00
Unirea DejLLLDD

0 – 2

Wednesday, 23 September 2026

· Analysis updated 06:32 UTC

Unirea Dej vs Viitorul Cluj Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.08 expected goals for Unirea Dej and 1.70 for Viitorul Cluj, a combined total of 2.78. That distribution gives Viitorul Cluj the largest share of the 1X2 market at 52%, with the draw at 24%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 52% for over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 52% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Viitorul Cluj win

52.0% probability

Low confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

1.08 – 1.70

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Unirea Dej home form

    0 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Viitorul Cluj away threat

    Scored in 4 of their last 6 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Viitorul Cluj to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 52%, against 24% / 24% / 52% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.08 goals for Unirea Dej and 1.70 for Viitorul Cluj, a combined 2.78 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Unirea Dej win24%
Draw24%
Viitorul Cluj win52%

Double chance 1X

48%

Double chance 12

76%

Double chance X2

76%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals77%
Over 2.5 goals52%
Over 3.5 goals30%
Both teams to score54%

Correct score

  • 1–111.4%
  • 0–110.6%
  • 1–29.7%
  • 0–29.0%
  • 1–06.7%

Recent form

Unirea Dej

  • 2026-09-26T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Transilvania Sport Academy · 0-0 (D)
  • 2026-09-23T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Viitorul Cluj · 0-2 (L)
  • 2026-09-19T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Minaur Baia Mare · 1-5 (L)
  • 2026-09-11T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Academica Recea · 3-0 (W)
  • 2026-09-04T14:00:00.000Z · H vs SCM Zalău · 0-2 (L)

Viitorul Cluj

  • 2026-10-24T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Crişul Sântandrei · 1-3 (L)
  • 2026-10-16T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Sighetu Marmaţiei · 1-2 (L)
  • 2026-10-10T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Unirea Tășnad · 0-1 (L)
  • 2026-10-02T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Transilvania Sport Academy · 4-2 (W)
  • 2026-09-26T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Minaur Baia Mare · 2-2 (D)

Head-to-head

  • 2026-07-29T14:30:00.000Z · Unirea Dej 1-2 Viitorul Cluj (Cupa României)
  • 2026-04-03T14:00:00.000Z · Unirea Dej 0-0 Viitorul Cluj (Liga III - Serie 8)
  • 2025-11-07T12:00:00.000Z · Unirea Dej 3-0 Viitorul Cluj (Liga III - Serie 8)
  • 2025-08-29T15:00:00.000Z · Unirea Dej 0-1 Viitorul Cluj (Liga III - Serie 8)

Liga III - Serie 8 table

Full league page →
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Minaur Baia Mare107212023
2Sănătatea Cluj105411019
3Crişul Sântandrei10613319
4Academica Recea10604418
5Sighetu Marmaţiei105231017
6SCM Zalău10442716
7Sânmartin10343-113
8Bihorul Beiuş10343-113
9Viitorul Cluj10334312
10Unirea Tășnad10235-139
11Unirea Dej10127-125
12Transilvania Sport Academy10019-301

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Viitorul Cluj win, at 52.0%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 54% and over 2.5 goals at 52%.

A 52% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.