· Analysis updated 06:02 UTC
Unirea Tășnad vs Viitorul Cluj Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 0.78 expected goals for Unirea Tășnad and 1.83 for Viitorul Cluj, a combined total of 2.60. That distribution gives Viitorul Cluj the largest share of the 1X2 market at 62%, with the draw at 22%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 48% for over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score, with 0–1 the single most likely scoreline at 14%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 62% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Viitorul Cluj win
62.3% probability
Expected goals
0.78 – 1.83
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Unirea Tășnad home form
2 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Viitorul Cluj away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Viitorul Cluj to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 62%, against 15% / 22% / 62% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 0.78 goals for Unirea Tășnad and 1.83 for Viitorul Cluj, a combined 2.60 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
38%
Double chance 12
78%
Double chance X2
85%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 0–113.6%
- 0–212.4%
- 1–110.5%
- 1–29.6%
- 0–37.5%
Recent form
Unirea Tășnad
- 2026-09-26T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Academica Recea · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-09-23T14:00:00.000Z · A vs SCM Zalău · 0-4 (L)
- 2026-09-19T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Bihorul Beiuş · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-09-11T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Sânmartin · 0-5 (L)
- 2026-09-05T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Sănătatea Cluj · 1-1 (D)
Viitorul Cluj
- 2026-08-28T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Sânmartin · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-08-05T14:30:00.000Z · H vs SCM Zalău · 1-6 (L)
- 2026-07-29T14:30:00.000Z · A vs Unirea Dej · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-05-08T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Sânmartin · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-05-01T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Sighetu Marmaţiei · 1-1 (D)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Liga III - Serie 8 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Minaur Baia Mare | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 18 | 20 |
| 2 | Sănătatea Cluj | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 16 |
| 3 | Crişul Sântandrei | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 16 |
| 4 | SCM Zalău | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 15 |
| 5 | Academica Recea | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 15 |
| 6 | Sighetu Marmaţiei | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 14 |
| 7 | Sânmartin | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 13 |
| 8 | Viitorul Cluj | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 12 |
| 9 | Bihorul Beiuş | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | -1 | 12 |
| 10 | Unirea Tășnad | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -11 | 9 |
| 11 | Unirea Dej | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | -11 | 5 |
| 12 | Transilvania Sport Academy | 9 | 0 | 1 | 8 | -25 | 1 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Viitorul Cluj win, at 62.3%. Its single most likely scoreline is 0–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 45% and over 2.5 goals at 48%.
A 62% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.