· Analysis updated 07:02 UTC
Unistars vs Caiquetio Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.11 expected goals for Unistars and 2.06 for Caiquetio, a combined total of 3.17. That distribution gives Caiquetio the largest share of the 1X2 market at 59%, with the draw at 21%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 61% for over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score, with 1–2 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 59% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Caiquetio win
59.3% probability
Expected goals
1.11 – 2.06
Model version
poisson-v1
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Unistars home form
0 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Caiquetio away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Caiquetio to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 59%, against 20% / 21% / 59% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.11 goals for Unistars and 2.06 for Caiquetio, a combined 3.17 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
41%
Double chance 12
79%
Double chance X2
80%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–29.9%
- 1–19.6%
- 0–28.9%
- 0–18.6%
- 1–36.8%
Recent form
Unistars
- 2026-06-04T00:30:00.000Z · A vs Caiquetio · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-05-27T00:30:00.000Z · H vs Jong Aruba · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-05-19T00:30:00.000Z · A vs Brazil Juniors · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-05-10T22:00:00.000Z · H vs River Plate · 0-5 (L)
- 2026-05-03T20:00:00.000Z · H vs Estrella · 2-3 (L)
Caiquetio
- 2026-10-26T00:00:00.000Z · H vs Sporting · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-06-13T00:30:00.000Z · A vs Nacional · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-06-04T00:30:00.000Z · H vs Unistars · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-05-25T00:00:00.000Z · H vs Brazil Juniors · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-05-21T00:30:00.000Z · A vs Estrella · 2-1 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Division di Honor table
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Caiquetio win, at 59.3%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–2.
It puts both teams scoring at 59% and over 2.5 goals at 61%.
A 59% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.