Stadionul Ion Oblemenco · Analysis updated 16:15 UTC
Univ. Craiova W vs Farul Constanţa W Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 0.90 expected goals for Univ. Craiova W and 4.50 for Farul Constanţa W, a combined total of 5.40. That distribution gives Farul Constanţa W the largest share of the 1X2 market at 92%, with the draw at 5%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 87% for over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score, with 0–4 the single most likely scoreline at 8%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 92% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
Model pick
Farul Constanţa W win
91.7% probability
Expected goals
0.90 – 4.50
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Univ. Craiova W home form
3 points from their last 3 home matches in our dataset.
Farul Constanţa W away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Farul Constanţa W to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 92%, against 3% / 5% / 92% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 0.90 goals for Univ. Craiova W and 4.50 for Farul Constanţa W, a combined 5.40 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
8%
Double chance 12
95%
Double chance X2
97%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 0–47.7%
- 1–46.9%
- 0–56.9%
- 0–36.9%
- 1–56.3%
Recent form
Univ. Craiova W
- 2026-09-20T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Vasas Femina W · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-09-13T08:00:00.000Z · A vs Farul Constanţa W · 0-12 (L)
- 2026-09-05T08:00:00.000Z · H vs SSU Poli Timişoara W · 1-6 (L)
- 2026-08-30T08:00:00.000Z · A vs Csikszereda MC W · 1-11 (L)
- 2026-08-23T10:00:00.000Z · H vs Olimpia Cluj W · 2-6 (L)
Farul Constanţa W
- 2026-10-03T10:00:00.000Z · A vs SSU Poli Timişoara W · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-09-30T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Sparta Praha W · 0-4 (L)
- 2026-09-27T10:00:00.000Z · H vs Csikszereda MC W · 2-3 (L)
- 2026-09-23T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Sparta Praha W · 1-4 (L)
- 2026-09-19T10:00:00.000Z · A vs Olimpia Cluj W · 8-1 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Liga 1 Feminin table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gloria Bistrița-Năsăud W | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 31 | 18 |
| 2 | Csikszereda MC W | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 18 |
| 3 | Farul Constanţa W | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 45 | 15 |
| 4 | SSU Poli Timişoara W | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 23 | 12 |
| 5 | Olimpia Cluj W | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 12 |
| 6 | FC Rapid Bucuresti W | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | -12 | 6 |
| 7 | Univ. Craiova W | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | -46 | 3 |
| 8 | Vasas Femina W | 7 | 0 | 0 | 7 | -64 | 0 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Farul Constanţa W win, at 91.7%. Its single most likely scoreline is 0–4.
It puts both teams scoring at 56% and over 2.5 goals at 87%.
A 92% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.