Romania · Liga 1 Feminin · Matchweek 710:00

0 – 4

Sunday, 4 October 2026

Stadionul Ion Oblemenco · Analysis updated 11:31 UTC

Univ. Craiova W vs FC Rapid Bucuresti W Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 2.73 expected goals for Univ. Craiova W and 4.50 for FC Rapid Bucuresti W, a combined total of 7.23. That distribution gives FC Rapid Bucuresti W the largest share of the 1X2 market at 67%, with the draw at 13%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 93% for over 2.5 goals and 89% for both teams to score, with 2–4 the single most likely scoreline at 5%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 67% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

FC Rapid Bucuresti W win

67.0% probability

Moderate confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

2.73 – 4.50

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Univ. Craiova W home form

    3 points from their last 3 home matches in our dataset.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates FC Rapid Bucuresti W to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 67%, against 20% / 13% / 67% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 2.73 goals for Univ. Craiova W and 4.50 for FC Rapid Bucuresti W, a combined 7.23 — an open game on paper.

  • Goals markets

    Over 2.5 goals lands at 93% and both teams to score at 89%, with 2–4 the single most likely scoreline at 5%.

Match result (1X2)

Univ. Craiova W win20%
Draw13%
FC Rapid Bucuresti W win67%

Double chance 1X

33%

Double chance 12

87%

Double chance X2

80%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals95%
Over 2.5 goals93%
Over 3.5 goals89%
Both teams to score89%

Correct score

  • 2–44.6%
  • 3–44.2%
  • 2–54.2%
  • 2–34.1%
  • 3–53.8%

Recent form

Univ. Craiova W

  • 2026-09-20T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Vasas Femina W · 1-0 (W)
  • 2026-09-13T08:00:00.000Z · A vs Farul Constanţa W · 0-12 (L)
  • 2026-09-05T08:00:00.000Z · H vs SSU Poli Timişoara W · 1-6 (L)
  • 2026-08-30T08:00:00.000Z · A vs Csikszereda MC W · 1-11 (L)
  • 2026-08-23T10:00:00.000Z · H vs Olimpia Cluj W · 2-6 (L)

FC Rapid Bucuresti W

  • 2026-08-22T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Farul Constanţa W · 1-7 (L)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

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Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is FC Rapid Bucuresti W win, at 67.0%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–4.

It puts both teams scoring at 89% and over 2.5 goals at 93%.

A 67% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.