Stadionul Ion Oblemenco · Analysis updated 08:55 UTC
Univ. Craiova W vs SSU Poli Timişoara W Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.34 expected goals for Univ. Craiova W and 4.50 for SSU Poli Timişoara W, a combined total of 5.84. That distribution gives SSU Poli Timişoara W the largest share of the 1X2 market at 87%, with the draw at 8%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 89% for over 2.5 goals and 70% for both teams to score, with 1–4 the single most likely scoreline at 7%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 87% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
SSU Poli Timişoara W win
86.6% probability
Expected goals
1.34 – 4.50
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Univ. Craiova W home form
3 points from their last 3 home matches in our dataset.
Most likely outcome
The model rates SSU Poli Timişoara W to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 87%, against 6% / 8% / 87% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.34 goals for Univ. Craiova W and 4.50 for SSU Poli Timişoara W, a combined 5.84 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 89% and both teams to score at 70%, with 1–4 the single most likely scoreline at 7%.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
13%
Double chance 12
92%
Double chance X2
94%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–46.7%
- 1–56.0%
- 1–35.9%
- 0–45.0%
- 1–64.5%
Recent form
Univ. Craiova W
- 2026-09-20T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Vasas Femina W · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-09-13T08:00:00.000Z · A vs Farul Constanţa W · 0-12 (L)
- 2026-09-05T08:00:00.000Z · H vs SSU Poli Timişoara W · 1-6 (L)
- 2026-08-30T08:00:00.000Z · A vs Csikszereda MC W · 1-11 (L)
- 2026-08-23T10:00:00.000Z · H vs Olimpia Cluj W · 2-6 (L)
SSU Poli Timişoara W
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Liga 1 Feminin table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gloria Bistrița-Năsăud W | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 31 | 18 |
| 2 | Csikszereda MC W | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 18 |
| 3 | Farul Constanţa W | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 45 | 15 |
| 4 | SSU Poli Timişoara W | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 23 | 12 |
| 5 | Olimpia Cluj W | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 12 |
| 6 | FC Rapid Bucuresti W | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | -12 | 6 |
| 7 | Univ. Craiova W | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | -46 | 3 |
| 8 | Vasas Femina W | 7 | 0 | 0 | 7 | -64 | 0 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is SSU Poli Timişoara W win, at 86.6%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–4.
It puts both teams scoring at 70% and over 2.5 goals at 89%.
A 87% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.