Stadionul Ion Oblemenco · Analysis updated 21:09 UTC
Univ. Craiova W vs Vasas Femina W Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 4.50 expected goals for Univ. Craiova W and 3.75 for Vasas Femina W, a combined total of 8.25. That distribution gives Univ. Craiova W the largest share of the 1X2 market at 52%, with the draw at 14%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 93% for over 2.5 goals and 91% for both teams to score, with 4–3 the single most likely scoreline at 4%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 52% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Univ. Craiova W win
52.2% probability
Expected goals
4.50 – 3.75
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Univ. Craiova W home form
3 points from their last 3 home matches in our dataset.
Vasas Femina W away threat
Scored in 2 of their last 4 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Univ. Craiova W to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 52%, against 52% / 14% / 33% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 4.50 goals for Univ. Craiova W and 3.75 for Vasas Femina W, a combined 8.25 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
67%
Double chance 12
86%
Double chance X2
48%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 4–33.9%
- 4–43.7%
- 5–33.5%
- 3–33.5%
- 5–43.3%
Recent form
Univ. Craiova W
- 2026-09-20T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Vasas Femina W · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-09-13T08:00:00.000Z · A vs Farul Constanţa W · 0-12 (L)
- 2026-09-05T08:00:00.000Z · H vs SSU Poli Timişoara W · 1-6 (L)
- 2026-08-30T08:00:00.000Z · A vs Csikszereda MC W · 1-11 (L)
- 2026-08-23T10:00:00.000Z · H vs Olimpia Cluj W · 2-6 (L)
Vasas Femina W
- 2026-09-27T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Olimpia Cluj W · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-09-20T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Univ. Craiova W · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-09-13T08:00:00.000Z · H vs Gloria Bistrița-Năsăud W · 0-15 (L)
- 2026-09-06T11:00:00.000Z · H vs FC Rapid Bucuresti W · 0-8 (L)
- 2026-08-30T08:00:00.000Z · A vs Farul Constanţa W · 1-22 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Liga 1 Feminin table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gloria Bistrița-Năsăud W | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 31 | 18 |
| 2 | Csikszereda MC W | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 18 |
| 3 | Farul Constanţa W | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 45 | 15 |
| 4 | SSU Poli Timişoara W | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 23 | 12 |
| 5 | Olimpia Cluj W | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 12 |
| 6 | FC Rapid Bucuresti W | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | -12 | 6 |
| 7 | Univ. Craiova W | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | -46 | 3 |
| 8 | Vasas Femina W | 7 | 0 | 0 | 7 | -64 | 0 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Univ. Craiova W win, at 52.2%. Its single most likely scoreline is 4–3.
It puts both teams scoring at 91% and over 2.5 goals at 93%.
A 52% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.