Universitario de Vinto vs San Antonio Bulo Bulo Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.78 expected goals for Universitario de Vinto and 1.26 for San Antonio Bulo Bulo, a combined total of 3.04. That distribution gives Universitario de Vinto the largest share of the 1X2 market at 50%, with the draw at 23%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 59% for over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 50% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

Model pick

Universitario de Vinto win

49.6% probability

Low confidenceLow data42/100

Expected goals

1.78 – 1.26

Model version

poisson-v2

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

Universitario de Vinto home form
7 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
San Antonio Bulo Bulo away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Universitario de Vinto to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 50%, against 50% / 23% / 27% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.78 goals for Universitario de Vinto and 1.26 for San Antonio Bulo Bulo, a combined 3.04 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Universitario de Vinto win50%

Draw23%

San Antonio Bulo Bulo win27%

Double chance 1X

73%

Double chance 12

77%

Double chance X2

50%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals81%

Over 2.5 goals59%

Over 3.5 goals36%

Both teams to score60%

Correct score

1–110.7%
2–19.5%
1–08.5%
2–07.6%
1–26.8%

Recent form

Universitario de Vinto

2026-09-19T21:30:00.000Z · A vs Aurora · 2-4 (L)
2026-09-17T00:30:00.000Z · A vs Blooming · 1-1 (D)
2026-09-13T21:15:00.000Z · H vs Independiente Petrolero · 3-1 (W)
2026-09-09T22:30:00.000Z · H vs The Strongest · 1-2 (L)
2026-09-04T21:15:00.000Z · A vs ABB · 0-2 (L)

San Antonio Bulo Bulo

2026-10-09T19:00:00.000Z · H vs Real Tomayapo · 0-0 (D)
2026-10-06T22:00:00.000Z · A vs Real Potosí · 2-4 (L)
2026-10-02T19:00:00.000Z · H vs ABB · 0-2 (L)
2026-09-30T00:00:00.000Z · A vs Aurora · 2-2 (D)
2026-09-25T19:00:00.000Z · H vs Real Potosí · 3-0 (W)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Primera División table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Always Ready	21	14	6	1	36	48
2	Bolívar	21	15	3	3	33	48
3	The Strongest	21	12	6	3	16	42
4	Real Potosí	21	9	8	4	14	35
5	Oriente Petrolero	21	10	3	8	10	33
6	Aurora	21	7	10	4	4	31
7	Guabirá	21	8	5	8	-10	29
8	Nacional Potosí	21	8	4	9	2	28
9	Blooming	21	6	9	6	7	27
10	Independiente Petrolero	21	7	4	10	-10	25
11	Real Oruro	21	7	3	11	-16	24
12	San Antonio Bulo Bulo	21	6	3	12	-19	21
13	ABB	21	6	2	13	-15	20
14	Universitario de Vinto	21	5	3	13	-15	18
15	Gualberto Villarroel SJ	21	3	8	10	-13	17
16	Real Tomayapo	21	4	5	12	-24	17

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Universitario de Vinto win, at 49.6%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 60% and over 2.5 goals at 59%.

A 50% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Methodology Results Log

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.