Universitatea Cluj vs FC Botosani Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.25 expected goals for Universitatea Cluj and 1.25 for FC Botosani, a combined total of 2.50. That distribution gives Universitatea Cluj the largest share of the 1X2 market at 37%, with the draw at 27%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 46% for over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 13%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 37% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Home/Draw

63.5% probability

Moderate confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

1.25 – 1.25

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

Universitatea Cluj home form
12 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
FC Botosani away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 7 away fixtures.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 3 of the last 10 meetings.

Match result (1X2)

Universitatea Cluj win37%

Draw27%

FC Botosani win37%

Double chance 1X

64%

Double chance 12

73%

Double chance X2

64%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals71%

Over 2.5 goals46%

Over 3.5 goals24%

Both teams to score51%

Correct score

1–112.8%
0–110.3%
1–010.3%
0–08.2%
1–28.0%

Recent form

Universitatea Cluj

2026-10-08T17:30:00.000Z · A vs CFR 1907 Cluj · 3-1 (W)
2026-09-20T11:00:00.000Z · A vs FC Voluntari · 2-0 (W)
2026-09-14T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Oţelul · 3-0 (W)
2026-09-07T17:30:00.000Z · A vs Universitatea Craiova · 0-4 (L)
2026-09-01T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Petrolul Ploiesti · 1-0 (W)

FC Botosani

2026-08-30T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Farul Constanta · 0-0 (D)
2026-08-24T15:30:00.000Z · H vs Csikszereda · 1-0 (W)
2026-08-20T14:30:00.000Z · A vs Viitorul Şelimbăr · 3-1 (W)
2026-08-17T18:30:00.000Z · A vs FCSB · 2-3 (L)
2026-08-10T15:30:00.000Z · H vs Corvinul Hunedoara · 0-0 (D)

Head-to-head

2026-08-03T15:30:00.000Z · Universitatea Cluj 2-1 FC Botosani (Liga I)
2026-02-20T18:00:00.000Z · Universitatea Cluj 3-1 FC Botosani (Liga I)
2025-10-18T12:00:00.000Z · Universitatea Cluj 0-2 FC Botosani (Liga I)
2025-03-01T14:00:00.000Z · Universitatea Cluj 0-1 FC Botosani (Liga I)
2024-10-28T16:00:00.000Z · Universitatea Cluj 2-1 FC Botosani (Liga I)
2024-03-15T15:30:00.000Z · Universitatea Cluj 3-0 FC Botosani (Liga I)
2024-03-03T12:30:00.000Z · Universitatea Cluj 1-0 FC Botosani (Liga I)
2023-12-06T17:00:00.000Z · Universitatea Cluj 4-0 FC Botosani (Cupa României)
2023-10-30T15:30:00.000Z · Universitatea Cluj 3-0 FC Botosani (Liga I)
2023-05-06T09:30:00.000Z · Universitatea Cluj 0-0 FC Botosani (Liga I)

Liga I table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Dinamo Bucuresti	11	8	2	1	18	26
2	Rapid	11	7	3	1	9	24
3	Universitatea Craiova	11	7	2	2	16	23
4	Petrolul Ploiesti	11	6	1	4	-1	19
5	Universitatea Cluj	11	6	0	5	2	18
6	Farul Constanta	11	4	5	2	2	17
7	Corvinul Hunedoara	11	4	4	3	3	16
8	CFR 1907 Cluj	11	5	1	5	0	16
9	FCSB	11	4	3	4	-3	15
10	FC Botosani	11	3	5	3	4	14
11	Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe	11	3	4	4	-5	13
12	Uta Arad	11	3	3	5	-3	12
13	Arges Pitesti	11	3	2	6	-5	11
14	Oţelul	11	2	4	5	-5	10
15	FC Voluntari	11	2	2	7	-14	8
16	Csikszereda	11	0	1	10	-18	1

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 63.5%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 51% and over 2.5 goals at 46%.

A 64% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Methodology Results Log

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.