Universitatea Cluj vs FCSB Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 2.00 expected goals for Universitatea Cluj and 1.10 for FCSB, a combined total of 3.10. That distribution gives Universitatea Cluj the largest share of the 1X2 market at 58%, with the draw at 21%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 60% for over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 58% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

Model pick

Universitatea Cluj win

58.2% probability

Moderate confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

2.00 – 1.10

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

Universitatea Cluj home form
7 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
FCSB away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 6 of the last 10 meetings.

Match result (1X2)

Universitatea Cluj win58%

Draw21%

FCSB win20%

Double chance 1X

80%

Double chance 12

79%

Double chance X2

42%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals82%

Over 2.5 goals60%

Over 3.5 goals38%

Both teams to score58%

Correct score

1–19.9%
2–19.9%
1–09.0%
2–09.0%
3–16.6%

Recent form

Universitatea Cluj

2026-10-23T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Corvinul Hunedoara · 3-0 (W)
2026-10-19T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Arges Pitesti · 2-2 (D)
2026-10-12T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Rapid · 3-4 (L)
2026-10-08T17:30:00.000Z · A vs CFR 1907 Cluj · 3-1 (W)
2026-09-20T11:00:00.000Z · A vs FC Voluntari · 2-0 (W)

FCSB

2026-10-19T18:00:00.000Z · A vs FC Voluntari · 2-1 (W)
2026-10-10T18:30:00.000Z · H vs Oţelul · 1-0 (W)
2026-09-19T17:30:00.000Z · A vs Universitatea Craiova · 0-5 (L)
2026-09-14T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Petrolul Ploiesti · 2-2 (D)
2026-09-05T17:30:00.000Z · A vs Dinamo Bucuresti · 1-2 (L)

Head-to-head

2026-03-07T18:00:00.000Z · Universitatea Cluj 3-1 FCSB (Liga I)
2025-11-01T18:30:00.000Z · Universitatea Cluj 0-2 FCSB (Liga I)
2025-05-11T17:30:00.000Z · Universitatea Cluj 0-2 FCSB (Liga I)
2025-04-05T18:15:00.000Z · Universitatea Cluj 0-1 FCSB (Liga I)
2024-11-10T19:00:00.000Z · Universitatea Cluj 1-2 FCSB (Liga I)
2024-07-13T19:00:00.000Z · Universitatea Cluj 1-1 FCSB (Liga I)
2024-02-19T18:30:00.000Z · Universitatea Cluj 0-0 FCSB (Liga I)
2023-10-02T18:00:00.000Z · Universitatea Cluj 2-2 FCSB (Liga I)
2022-10-31T19:00:00.000Z · Universitatea Cluj 2-1 FCSB (Liga I)
2022-07-17T18:30:00.000Z · Universitatea Cluj 1-1 FCSB (Liga I)

Liga I table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Dinamo Bucuresti	13	9	3	1	20	30
2	Rapid	13	8	3	2	8	27
3	Universitatea Craiova	12	8	2	2	18	26
4	Petrolul Ploiesti	13	7	2	4	1	23
5	Universitatea Cluj	13	7	1	5	5	22
6	FCSB	13	6	3	4	1	21
7	Farul Constanta	13	5	5	3	1	20
8	Uta Arad	13	5	3	5	-1	18
9	CFR 1907 Cluj	13	5	2	6	-1	17
10	Corvinul Hunedoara	13	4	4	5	-2	16
11	FC Botosani	13	3	5	5	0	14
12	Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe	12	3	5	4	-5	14
13	Arges Pitesti	13	3	3	7	-6	12
14	Oţelul	13	2	5	6	-6	11
15	FC Voluntari	13	2	2	9	-16	8
16	Csikszereda	13	1	2	10	-17	5

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Universitatea Cluj win, at 58.2%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 58% and over 2.5 goals at 60%.

A 58% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Methodology Results Log

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.