South-Africa · Super League Women · Group stage07:00

1 – 0

Sunday, 25 October 2026

JVW FC WDDWWW

· Analysis updated 22:08 UTC

University of Fort Hare W vs JVW FC W Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.00 expected goals for University of Fort Hare W and 1.38 for JVW FC W, a combined total of 2.38. That distribution gives JVW FC W the largest share of the 1X2 market at 46%, with the draw at 27%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 42% for over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score, with 0–1 the single most likely scoreline at 13%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 46% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

JVW FC W win

45.5% probability

Low confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

1.00 – 1.38

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • University of Fort Hare W home form

    7 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.

  • JVW FC W away threat

    Scored in 3 of their last 5 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates JVW FC W to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 46%, against 27% / 27% / 46% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.00 goals for University of Fort Hare W and 1.38 for JVW FC W, a combined 2.38 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.

Match result (1X2)

University of Fort Hare W win27%
Draw27%
JVW FC W win46%

Double chance 1X

55%

Double chance 12

73%

Double chance X2

73%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals69%
Over 2.5 goals42%
Over 3.5 goals22%
Both teams to score47%

Correct score

  • 0–112.8%
  • 1–112.8%
  • 0–09.3%
  • 1–09.3%
  • 0–28.8%

Recent form

University of Fort Hare W

  • 2026-09-19T09:00:00.000Z · A vs University of Johannesburg W · 2-1 (W)
  • 2026-09-13T09:00:00.000Z · A vs First Touch W · 1-0 (W)
  • 2026-09-05T07:00:00.000Z · H vs City Lads W · 2-0 (W)
  • 2026-08-30T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Tshwane University W · 0-0 (D)
  • 2026-07-11T13:00:00.000Z · A vs JVW FC W · 2-2 (D)

JVW FC W

  • 2026-10-25T07:00:00.000Z · A vs University of Fort Hare W · 0-1 (L)
  • 2026-10-18T09:00:00.000Z · H vs First Touch W · 0-0 (D)
  • 2026-10-03T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Ezemvelo W · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-09-19T16:00:00.000Z · H vs City Lads W · 3-0 (W)
  • 2026-09-11T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Ramatlaohle W · 1-1 (D)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Super League Women table

Full league page →

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is JVW FC W win, at 45.5%. Its single most likely scoreline is 0–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 47% and over 2.5 goals at 42%.

A 46% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.