South-Africa · Super League Women · Group stage09:00

09:00 UTC

Saturday, 31 October 2026

· Analysis updated 01:29 UTC

University of Fort Hare W vs Tshwane University W Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.35 expected goals for University of Fort Hare W and 1.03 for Tshwane University W, a combined total of 2.38. That distribution gives University of Fort Hare W the largest share of the 1X2 market at 44%, with the draw at 27%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 42% for over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 13%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 44% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

Model pick

Home/Draw

71.6% probability

High confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

1.35 – 1.03

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • University of Fort Hare W home form

    7 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.

  • Tshwane University W away threat

    Scored in 4 of their last 4 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates University of Fort Hare W to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 44%, against 44% / 27% / 28% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.35 goals for University of Fort Hare W and 1.03 for Tshwane University W, a combined 2.38 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.

Match result (1X2)

University of Fort Hare W win44%
Draw27%
Tshwane University W win28%

Double chance 1X

72%

Double chance 12

73%

Double chance X2

56%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals69%
Over 2.5 goals42%
Over 3.5 goals22%
Both teams to score48%

Correct score

  • 1–112.9%
  • 1–012.6%
  • 0–19.5%
  • 0–09.3%
  • 2–18.7%

Recent form

University of Fort Hare W

  • 2026-09-19T09:00:00.000Z · A vs University of Johannesburg W · 2-1 (W)
  • 2026-09-13T09:00:00.000Z · A vs First Touch W · 1-0 (W)
  • 2026-09-05T07:00:00.000Z · H vs City Lads W · 2-0 (W)
  • 2026-08-30T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Tshwane University W · 0-0 (D)
  • 2026-07-11T13:00:00.000Z · A vs JVW FC W · 2-2 (D)

Tshwane University W

  • 2026-09-19T18:30:00.000Z · H vs First Touch W · 0-1 (L)
  • 2026-09-12T13:00:00.000Z · A vs City Lads W · 2-3 (L)
  • 2026-09-05T16:00:00.000Z · A vs JVW FC W · 1-2 (L)
  • 2026-08-30T13:00:00.000Z · H vs University of Fort Hare W · 0-0 (D)
  • 2026-07-11T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Ezemvelo W · 3-0 (W)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Super League Women table

Full league page →

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 71.6%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 48% and over 2.5 goals at 42%.

A 72% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.