South-Africa · Super League Women · Regular season13:00

2 – 0

Sunday, 21 June 2026

· Analysis updated 20:14 UTC

University of Fort Hare W vs University of Johannesburg W Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 0.87 expected goals for University of Fort Hare W and 1.04 for University of Johannesburg W, a combined total of 1.91. That distribution gives University of Johannesburg W the largest share of the 1X2 market at 39%, with the draw at 32%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 30% for over 2.5 goals and 38% for both teams to score, with 0–1 the single most likely scoreline at 15%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 39% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Draw/Away

70.3% probability

High confidenceLow data42/100

Expected goals

0.87 – 1.04

Model version

poisson-v2

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • University of Fort Hare W home form

    7 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates University of Johannesburg W to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 39%, against 30% / 32% / 39% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 0.87 goals for University of Fort Hare W and 1.04 for University of Johannesburg W, a combined 1.91 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.

  • Goals markets

    Over 2.5 goals lands at 30% and both teams to score at 38%, with 0–1 the single most likely scoreline at 15%.

Match result (1X2)

University of Fort Hare W win30%
Draw32%
University of Johannesburg W win39%

Double chance 1X

61%

Double chance 12

68%

Double chance X2

70%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals57%
Over 2.5 goals30%
Over 3.5 goals13%
Both teams to score38%

Correct score

  • 0–115.4%
  • 0–014.8%
  • 1–113.4%
  • 1–012.9%
  • 0–28.0%

Recent form

University of Fort Hare W

  • 2026-09-19T09:00:00.000Z · A vs University of Johannesburg W · 2-1 (W)
  • 2026-09-13T09:00:00.000Z · A vs First Touch W · 1-0 (W)
  • 2026-09-05T07:00:00.000Z · H vs City Lads W · 2-0 (W)
  • 2026-08-30T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Tshwane University W · 0-0 (D)
  • 2026-07-11T13:00:00.000Z · A vs JVW FC W · 2-2 (D)

University of Johannesburg W

    Head-to-head

    Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

    Super League Women table

    Full league page →

    Prediction conclusion

    The model's leading selection is Draw/Away, at 70.3%. Its single most likely scoreline is 0–1.

    It puts both teams scoring at 38% and over 2.5 goals at 30%.

    A 70% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

    Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.