University of Johannesburg W vs City Lads W Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 2.23 expected goals for University of Johannesburg W and 0.41 for City Lads W, a combined total of 2.64. That distribution gives University of Johannesburg W the largest share of the 1X2 market at 79%, with the draw at 15%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 49% for over 2.5 goals and 30% for both teams to score, with 2–0 the single most likely scoreline at 18%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 79% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

University of Johannesburg W win

79.2% probability

High confidenceLow data42/100

Expected goals

2.23 – 0.41

Model version

poisson-v2

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

City Lads W away threat
Scored in 1 of their last 4 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates University of Johannesburg W to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 79%, against 79% / 15% / 5% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.23 goals for University of Johannesburg W and 0.41 for City Lads W, a combined 2.64 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 49% and both teams to score at 30%, with 2–0 the single most likely scoreline at 18%.

Match result (1X2)

University of Johannesburg W win79%

Draw15%

City Lads W win5%

Double chance 1X

95%

Double chance 12

85%

Double chance X2

21%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals74%

Over 2.5 goals49%

Over 3.5 goals27%

Both teams to score30%

Correct score

2–017.7%
1–015.9%
3–013.2%
4–07.3%
2–17.3%

Recent form

University of Johannesburg W

City Lads W

2026-10-17T09:30:00.000Z · H vs University of Johannesburg W · 1-3 (L)
2026-10-04T13:00:00.000Z · A vs First Touch W · 2-1 (W)
2026-09-19T16:00:00.000Z · A vs JVW FC W · 0-3 (L)
2026-09-12T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Tshwane University W · 3-2 (W)
2026-09-05T07:00:00.000Z · A vs University of Fort Hare W · 0-2 (L)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Super League Women table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Mamelodi Sundowns W	5	5	0	0	21	15
2	JVW FC W	6	4	2	0	13	14
3	TS Galaxy W	6	4	1	1	7	13
4	University of Johannesburg W	6	3	2	1	5	11
5	Tshwane University W	6	3	2	1	4	11
6	Pretoria U. W	6	3	1	2	1	10
7	Ramatlaohle W	6	3	1	2	0	10
8	UWC W	6	3	1	2	-3	10
9	Copperbelt Ladies W	5	3	0	2	0	9
10	University of Fort Hare W	6	1	4	1	0	7
11	Richmond United W	6	2	1	3	-5	7
12	Ezemvelo W	6	2	0	4	-4	6
13	First Touch W	6	1	3	2	-4	6
14	Diepkloof W	6	1	0	5	-10	3
15	Stellenbosch W	6	0	0	6	-11	0
16	City Lads W	6	0	0	6	-14	0

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is University of Johannesburg W win, at 79.2%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–0.

It puts both teams scoring at 30% and over 2.5 goals at 49%.

A 79% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Methodology Results Log

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.