South-Africa · Super League Women · Regular season10:30

0 – 0

Saturday, 29 August 2026

JVW FC WDDWWW

· Analysis updated 01:08 UTC

University of Johannesburg W vs JVW FC W Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.27 expected goals for University of Johannesburg W and 1.50 for JVW FC W, a combined total of 2.77. That distribution gives JVW FC W the largest share of the 1X2 market at 43%, with the draw at 25%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 52% for over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 43% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Draw/Away

67.8% probability

Moderate confidenceLow data42/100

Expected goals

1.27 – 1.50

Model version

poisson-v2

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • JVW FC W away threat

    Scored in 3 of their last 5 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates JVW FC W to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 43%, against 32% / 25% / 43% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.27 goals for University of Johannesburg W and 1.50 for JVW FC W, a combined 2.77 — an open game on paper.

  • Goals markets

    Over 2.5 goals lands at 52% and both teams to score at 56%, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%.

Match result (1X2)

University of Johannesburg W win32%
Draw25%
JVW FC W win43%

Double chance 1X

58%

Double chance 12

75%

Double chance X2

68%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals76%
Over 2.5 goals52%
Over 3.5 goals30%
Both teams to score56%

Correct score

  • 1–112.0%
  • 0–19.4%
  • 1–28.9%
  • 1–08.0%
  • 2–17.6%

Recent form

University of Johannesburg W

    JVW FC W

    • 2026-10-25T07:00:00.000Z · A vs University of Fort Hare W · 0-1 (L)
    • 2026-10-18T09:00:00.000Z · H vs First Touch W · 0-0 (D)
    • 2026-10-03T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Ezemvelo W · 1-1 (D)
    • 2026-09-19T16:00:00.000Z · H vs City Lads W · 3-0 (W)
    • 2026-09-11T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Ramatlaohle W · 1-1 (D)

    Head-to-head

    Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

    Super League Women table

    Full league page →

    Prediction conclusion

    The model's leading selection is Draw/Away, at 67.8%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.

    It puts both teams scoring at 56% and over 2.5 goals at 52%.

    A 68% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

    Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.