South-Africa · Super League Women · Group stage09:00

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Saturday, 19 September 2026

· Analysis updated 18:16 UTC

University of Johannesburg W vs University of Fort Hare W Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 0.98 expected goals for University of Johannesburg W and 0.85 for University of Fort Hare W, a combined total of 1.83. That distribution gives University of Johannesburg W the largest share of the 1X2 market at 37%, with the draw at 33%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 28% for over 2.5 goals and 36% for both teams to score, with 0–0 the single most likely scoreline at 16%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 37% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Home/Draw

69.6% probability

Moderate confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

0.98 – 0.85

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • University of Fort Hare W away threat

    Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates University of Johannesburg W to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 37%, against 37% / 33% / 30% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 0.98 goals for University of Johannesburg W and 0.85 for University of Fort Hare W, a combined 1.83 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.

  • Goals markets

    Over 2.5 goals lands at 28% and both teams to score at 36%, with 0–0 the single most likely scoreline at 16%.

Match result (1X2)

University of Johannesburg W win37%
Draw33%
University of Fort Hare W win30%

Double chance 1X

70%

Double chance 12

67%

Double chance X2

63%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals55%
Over 2.5 goals28%
Over 3.5 goals11%
Both teams to score36%

Correct score

  • 0–016.1%
  • 1–015.7%
  • 0–113.7%
  • 1–113.4%
  • 2–07.7%

Recent form

University of Johannesburg W

    University of Fort Hare W

    • 2026-09-19T09:00:00.000Z · A vs University of Johannesburg W · 2-1 (W)
    • 2026-09-13T09:00:00.000Z · A vs First Touch W · 1-0 (W)
    • 2026-09-05T07:00:00.000Z · H vs City Lads W · 2-0 (W)
    • 2026-08-30T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Tshwane University W · 0-0 (D)
    • 2026-07-11T13:00:00.000Z · A vs JVW FC W · 2-2 (D)

    Head-to-head

    Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

    Super League Women table

    Full league page →

    Prediction conclusion

    The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 69.6%. Its single most likely scoreline is 0–0.

    It puts both teams scoring at 36% and over 2.5 goals at 28%.

    A 70% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

    Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.