· Analysis updated 16:25 UTC
Unter-Flockenbach vs Hadamar Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.47 expected goals for Unter-Flockenbach and 1.65 for Hadamar, a combined total of 4.12. That distribution gives Unter-Flockenbach the largest share of the 1X2 market at 56%, with the draw at 19%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 78% for over 2.5 goals and 74% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 8%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 56% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
Model pick
Unter-Flockenbach win
55.9% probability
Expected goals
2.47 – 1.65
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Unter-Flockenbach home form
12 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Hadamar away threat
Scored in 2 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Unter-Flockenbach to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 56%, against 56% / 19% / 25% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.47 goals for Unter-Flockenbach and 1.65 for Hadamar, a combined 4.12 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
75%
Double chance 12
81%
Double chance X2
44%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–18.2%
- 3–16.7%
- 2–26.7%
- 1–16.6%
- 3–25.6%
Recent form
Unter-Flockenbach
- 2026-09-25T17:30:00.000Z · H vs Eintracht Stadtallendorf · 2-7 (L)
- 2026-09-20T12:30:00.000Z · A vs TuBa Pohlheim · 3-1 (W)
- 2026-09-12T13:30:00.000Z · H vs Friedberg · 4-2 (W)
- 2026-09-09T17:30:00.000Z · H vs Hummetroth · 3-0 (W)
- 2026-09-05T13:30:00.000Z · H vs FC Gießen · 2-1 (W)
Hadamar
- 2026-10-17T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Fernwald · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-10-10T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Vfb Marburg · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-10-04T13:00:00.000Z · A vs 1960 Hanau · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-09-26T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Kassel 2 · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-09-19T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Hünfelder SV · 0-2 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Oberliga - Hessen table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Eintracht Stadtallendorf | 14 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 30 | 32 |
| 2 | Unter-Flockenbach | 14 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 29 |
| 3 | Eddersheim | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 25 |
| 4 | Friedberg | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 24 |
| 5 | Hadamar | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 24 |
| 6 | TuBa Pohlheim | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 23 |
| 7 | Darmstadt 98 II | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 21 |
| 8 | Vfb Marburg | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 21 |
| 9 | Hünfelder SV | 14 | 6 | 1 | 7 | -1 | 19 |
| 10 | Fernwald | 14 | 3 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 18 |
| 11 | Kassel | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | -10 | 18 |
| 12 | Rot-Weiß Walldorf | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | -8 | 17 |
| 13 | Bayern Alzenau | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | -3 | 16 |
| 14 | Baunatal | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | -5 | 16 |
| 15 | 1960 Hanau | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | -11 | 13 |
| 16 | Hummetroth | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | -8 | 12 |
| 17 | Kassel 2 | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | -8 | 12 |
| 18 | FC Gießen | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | -20 | 9 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Unter-Flockenbach win, at 55.9%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 74% and over 2.5 goals at 78%.
A 56% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.