Germany · U19 Bundesliga · Preliminary10:00

2 – 3

Sunday, 23 August 2026

· Analysis updated 13:34 UTC

Unterhaching U19 vs Stuttgart U19 Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.62 expected goals for Unterhaching U19 and 2.14 for Stuttgart U19, a combined total of 3.76. That distribution gives Stuttgart U19 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 50%, with the draw at 21%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 73% for over 2.5 goals and 71% for both teams to score, with 1–2 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 50% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Stuttgart U19 win

49.7% probability

Low confidenceLow data38/100

Expected goals

1.62 – 2.14

Model version

poisson-v1

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Unterhaching U19 home form

    5 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Stuttgart U19 away threat

    Scored in 5 of their last 5 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Stuttgart U19 to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 50%, against 30% / 21% / 50% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.62 goals for Unterhaching U19 and 2.14 for Stuttgart U19, a combined 3.76 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Unterhaching U19 win30%
Draw21%
Stuttgart U19 win50%

Double chance 1X

50%

Double chance 12

79%

Double chance X2

71%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals89%
Over 2.5 goals73%
Over 3.5 goals52%
Both teams to score71%

Correct score

  • 1–28.6%
  • 1–18.1%
  • 2–27.0%
  • 2–16.5%
  • 1–36.1%

Recent form

Unterhaching U19

  • 2026-10-24T13:00:00.000Z · A vs 1860 München U19 · 1-7 (L)
  • 2026-10-17T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Bayern München U19 · 3-2 (W)
  • 2026-10-10T12:00:00.000Z · H vs SGV Freiberg Fussball U19 · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-09-04T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Ingolstadt U19 · 3-1 (W)
  • 2026-08-23T10:00:00.000Z · H vs Stuttgart U19 · 2-3 (L)

Stuttgart U19

  • 2026-09-20T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Hertha BSC U19 · 2-2 (D)
  • 2026-09-13T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Jahn Regensburg U19 · 2-2 (D)
  • 2026-09-09T10:30:00.000Z · H vs Viking U19 · 5-0 (W)
  • 2026-09-03T16:00:00.000Z · H vs SGV Freiberg Fussball U19 · 3-2 (W)
  • 2026-08-29T08:45:00.000Z · H vs Freiburg U19 · 3-2 (W)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Stuttgart U19 win, at 49.7%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–2.

It puts both teams scoring at 71% and over 2.5 goals at 73%.

A 50% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.