Germany · U19 Bundesliga · Matchweek 1012:00

5 – 2

Saturday, 25 April 2026

· Analysis updated 18:39 UTC

Unterhaching U19 vs Stuttgarter K'rs U19 Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 2.04 expected goals for Unterhaching U19 and 1.87 for Stuttgarter K'rs U19, a combined total of 3.91. That distribution gives Unterhaching U19 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 43%, with the draw at 21%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 75% for over 2.5 goals and 74% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 8%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 43% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Home/Draw

63.8% probability

Moderate confidenceLow data38/100

Expected goals

2.04 – 1.87

Model version

poisson-v1

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Unterhaching U19 home form

    5 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Stuttgarter K'rs U19 away threat

    Scored in 5 of their last 5 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Unterhaching U19 to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 43%, against 43% / 21% / 36% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 2.04 goals for Unterhaching U19 and 1.87 for Stuttgarter K'rs U19, a combined 3.91 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Unterhaching U19 win43%
Draw21%
Stuttgarter K'rs U19 win36%

Double chance 1X

64%

Double chance 12

79%

Double chance X2

57%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals90%
Over 2.5 goals75%
Over 3.5 goals55%
Both teams to score74%

Correct score

  • 2–17.8%
  • 1–17.6%
  • 2–27.3%
  • 1–27.1%
  • 3–15.3%

Recent form

Unterhaching U19

  • 2026-10-24T13:00:00.000Z · A vs 1860 München U19 · 1-7 (L)
  • 2026-10-17T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Bayern München U19 · 3-2 (W)
  • 2026-10-10T12:00:00.000Z · H vs SGV Freiberg Fussball U19 · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-09-04T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Ingolstadt U19 · 3-1 (W)
  • 2026-08-23T10:00:00.000Z · H vs Stuttgart U19 · 2-3 (L)

Stuttgarter K'rs U19

  • 2026-09-13T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Ulm U19 · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-09-05T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Freiburg U19 · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-08-23T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Augsburg U19 · 1-2 (L)
  • 2026-08-19T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Heidenheim U19 · 1-6 (L)
  • 2026-08-15T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Hoffenheim U19 · 0-9 (L)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 63.8%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 74% and over 2.5 goals at 75%.

A 64% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.