· Analysis updated 14:20 UTC
Unterhaching U19 vs Wacker Burghausen U19 Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.95 expected goals for Unterhaching U19 and 1.41 for Wacker Burghausen U19, a combined total of 3.36. That distribution gives Unterhaching U19 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 50%, with the draw at 22%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 65% for over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 50% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Unterhaching U19 win
50.2% probability
Expected goals
1.95 – 1.41
Model version
poisson-v1
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Unterhaching U19 home form
5 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Wacker Burghausen U19 away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Unterhaching U19 to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 50%, against 50% / 22% / 28% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.95 goals for Unterhaching U19 and 1.41 for Wacker Burghausen U19, a combined 3.36 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
72%
Double chance 12
78%
Double chance X2
50%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–19.5%
- 2–19.3%
- 1–06.8%
- 1–26.7%
- 2–06.6%
Recent form
Unterhaching U19
- 2026-10-24T13:00:00.000Z · A vs 1860 München U19 · 1-7 (L)
- 2026-10-17T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Bayern München U19 · 3-2 (W)
- 2026-10-10T12:00:00.000Z · H vs SGV Freiberg Fussball U19 · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-04T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Ingolstadt U19 · 3-1 (W)
- 2026-08-23T10:00:00.000Z · H vs Stuttgart U19 · 2-3 (L)
Wacker Burghausen U19
- 2026-05-23T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Stuttgarter K'rs U19 · 0-6 (L)
- 2026-05-14T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Unterhaching U19 · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-04-30T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Ingolstadt U19 · 1-4 (L)
- 2026-04-26T08:00:00.000Z · A vs Kickers Offenbach U19 · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-04-18T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Erzgebirge Aue U19 · 1-0 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Unterhaching U19 win, at 50.2%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 65% and over 2.5 goals at 65%.
A 50% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.