World · Friendlies · Friendly International20:00

1 – 2

Tuesday, 3 March 2026

Parque Federico Omar Saroldi · Analysis updated 10:07 UTC

Uruguay U17 vs Argentina U17 Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Uruguay U17 vs Argentina U17 in the Friendlies: no fixture-specific data has reached us for this match yet, so the figures below are a competition-average baseline with standard home advantage — not a rated model prediction on these two teams. They are excluded from our featured picks, accumulators and value selections, and will be replaced automatically once team and market data arrives.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Home/Draw

69.8% probability

Baseline estimate10/100

Expected goals

1.48 – 1.18

Model version

poisson-baseline-v1

No fixture-specific data was available. These numbers are a competition-average prior with standard home advantage — not a model opinion on these two teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Uruguay U17 home form

    8 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Uruguay U17 to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 44%, against 44% / 26% / 30% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.48 goals for Uruguay U17 and 1.18 for Argentina U17, a combined 2.66 — an open game on paper.

  • Why this is a baseline estimate

    No fixture-specific data was available for Uruguay U17 or Argentina U17 yet, so these numbers are a Friendlies scoring average with standard home advantage rather than a rated model pick. They are excluded from our featured picks, accumulators and value selections, and are replaced automatically as team data arrives.

Match result (1X2)

Uruguay U17 win44%
Draw26%
Argentina U17 win30%

Double chance 1X

70%

Double chance 12

74%

Double chance X2

56%

Correct score

  • 1–112.2%
  • 1–010.4%
  • 2–19.0%
  • 0–18.3%
  • 2–07.7%

Recent form

Uruguay U17

  • 2026-04-18T23:00:00.000Z · H vs Chile U17 · 2-3 (L)
  • 2026-04-16T20:00:00.000Z · H vs Venezuela U17 · 3-0 (W)
  • 2026-04-09T20:00:00.000Z · A vs Colombia U17 · 2-0 (W)
  • 2026-04-07T20:00:00.000Z · A vs Ecuador U17 · 1-2 (L)
  • 2026-04-05T23:00:00.000Z · H vs Paraguay U17 · 1-1 (D)

Argentina U17

    Head-to-head

    • 2026-03-05T13:30:00.000Z · Uruguay U17 1-2 Argentina U17 (Friendlies)
    • 2026-03-03T20:00:00.000Z · Uruguay U17 1-2 Argentina U17 (Friendlies)

    Prediction conclusion

    The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 69.8%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.

    A 70% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

    Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.