Algeria · Ligue 1 · Matchweek 116:00
US BiskraLLLDL

0 – 0

Tuesday, 22 September 2026

JS SaouraLLDDL

18 February Stadium · Analysis updated 09:08 UTC

US Biskra vs JS Saoura Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 0.91 expected goals for US Biskra and 0.73 for JS Saoura, a combined total of 1.64. That distribution gives US Biskra the largest share of the 1X2 market at 38%, with the draw at 35%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 23% for over 2.5 goals and 31% for both teams to score, with 0–0 the single most likely scoreline at 19%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 38% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Home/Draw

72.2% probability

High confidenceLow data42/100

Expected goals

0.91 – 0.73

Model version

poisson-v2

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • US Biskra home form

    5 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • JS Saoura away threat

    Scored in 1 of their last 6 away fixtures.

  • Head-to-head goals

    Both teams scored in 5 of the last 10 meetings.

Match result (1X2)

US Biskra win38%
Draw35%
JS Saoura win28%

Double chance 1X

72%

Double chance 12

65%

Double chance X2

62%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals49%
Over 2.5 goals23%
Over 3.5 goals8%
Both teams to score31%

Correct score

  • 0–019.4%
  • 1–017.6%
  • 0–114.2%
  • 1–112.9%
  • 2–08.0%

Recent form

US Biskra

  • 2026-10-18T16:45:00.000Z · A vs JS Kabylie · 1-4 (L)
  • 2026-10-13T14:00:00.000Z · H vs MC Oran · 0-1 (L)
  • 2026-10-07T17:00:00.000Z · A vs CS Constantine · 0-4 (L)
  • 2026-09-22T16:00:00.000Z · H vs JS Saoura · 0-0 (D)
  • 2026-09-17T17:00:00.000Z · H vs CR Belouizdad · 0-1 (L)

JS Saoura

  • 2026-10-18T16:45:00.000Z · A vs MB Rouisset · 0-1 (L)
  • 2026-10-13T19:15:00.000Z · A vs USM Alger · 0-1 (L)
  • 2026-10-08T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Olympique Akbou · 0-0 (D)
  • 2026-09-22T16:00:00.000Z · A vs US Biskra · 0-0 (D)
  • 2026-09-18T15:00:00.000Z · A vs JS El Biar · 0-4 (L)

Head-to-head

  • 2026-09-22T16:00:00.000Z · US Biskra 0-0 JS Saoura (Ligue 1)
  • 2025-03-14T21:00:00.000Z · US Biskra 0-2 JS Saoura (Ligue 1)
  • 2024-10-19T16:45:00.000Z · US Biskra 2-1 JS Saoura (Ligue 1)
  • 2024-02-10T15:00:00.000Z · US Biskra 2-1 JS Saoura (Ligue 1)
  • 2023-09-17T19:00:00.000Z · US Biskra 0-1 JS Saoura (Ligue 1)
  • 2023-02-25T17:00:00.000Z · US Biskra 1-1 JS Saoura (Ligue 1)
  • 2022-09-10T19:00:00.000Z · US Biskra 0-0 JS Saoura (Ligue 1)
  • 2022-03-24T16:00:00.000Z · US Biskra 0-2 JS Saoura (Ligue 1)
  • 2021-10-29T14:00:00.000Z · US Biskra 2-1 JS Saoura (Ligue 1)
  • 2021-07-27T20:00:00.000Z · US Biskra 1-2 JS Saoura (Ligue 1)
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1MC Oran5410513
2CR Belouizdad5410413
3MB Rouisset6402312
4JS Kabylie5311410
5USM Alger5311310
6MC Alger321037
7JS El Biar621317
8Olympique Akbou521207
9CS Constantine6213-17
10Ben Aknoun513106
11ES Setif512225
12Khenchela512205
13Témouchent6123-45
14ASO Chlef6033-53
15JS Saoura5023-62
16US Biskra6024-92

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 72.2%. Its single most likely scoreline is 0–0.

It puts both teams scoring at 31% and over 2.5 goals at 23%.

A 72% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.