· Analysis updated 04:56 UTC
US Oyem vs Bouenguidi Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.25 expected goals for US Oyem and 0.61 for Bouenguidi, a combined total of 1.86. That distribution gives US Oyem the largest share of the 1X2 market at 52%, with the draw at 30%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 28% for over 2.5 goals and 32% for both teams to score, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 20%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 52% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
US Oyem win
52.1% probability
Expected goals
1.25 – 0.61
Model version
poisson-v1
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
US Oyem home form
11 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Bouenguidi away threat
Scored in 2 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates US Oyem to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 52%, against 52% / 30% / 18% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.25 goals for US Oyem and 0.61 for Bouenguidi, a combined 1.86 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
82%
Double chance 12
70%
Double chance X2
48%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–019.5%
- 0–015.6%
- 2–012.2%
- 1–111.8%
- 0–19.5%
Recent form
US Oyem
- 2026-07-04T14:30:00.000Z · H vs Oyem AC · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-06-30T14:30:00.000Z · A vs FC 105 · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-06-27T14:30:00.000Z · H vs Mangasport · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-06-20T14:30:00.000Z · A vs Stade Migoveen · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-06-17T14:30:00.000Z · A vs Bitam · 0-0 (D)
Bouenguidi
- 2026-07-04T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Pélican · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-06-30T14:30:00.000Z · A vs Bitam · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-06-27T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Cercle Mbéri · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-06-20T14:30:00.000Z · A vs Oyem AC · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-06-13T15:00:00.000Z · H vs FC 105 · 0-2 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is US Oyem win, at 52.1%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–0.
It puts both teams scoring at 32% and over 2.5 goals at 28%.
A 52% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.