Gabon · Championnat D1 · Matchweek 2414:30

1 – 0

Saturday, 27 June 2026

· Analysis updated 23:28 UTC

US Oyem vs Mangasport Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.13 expected goals for US Oyem and 1.23 for Mangasport, a combined total of 2.35. That distribution gives Mangasport the largest share of the 1X2 market at 39%, with the draw at 28%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 42% for over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 13%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 39% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Draw/Away

66.5% probability

Moderate confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

1.13 – 1.23

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • US Oyem home form

    11 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Mangasport away threat

    Scored in 3 of their last 5 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Mangasport to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 39%, against 34% / 28% / 39% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.13 goals for US Oyem and 1.23 for Mangasport, a combined 2.35 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.

Match result (1X2)

US Oyem win34%
Draw28%
Mangasport win39%

Double chance 1X

62%

Double chance 12

72%

Double chance X2

67%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals68%
Over 2.5 goals42%
Over 3.5 goals21%
Both teams to score48%

Correct score

  • 1–113.1%
  • 0–111.7%
  • 1–010.7%
  • 0–09.5%
  • 1–28.1%

Recent form

US Oyem

  • 2026-07-04T14:30:00.000Z · H vs Oyem AC · 0-0 (D)
  • 2026-06-30T14:30:00.000Z · A vs FC 105 · 1-0 (W)
  • 2026-06-27T14:30:00.000Z · H vs Mangasport · 1-0 (W)
  • 2026-06-20T14:30:00.000Z · A vs Stade Migoveen · 1-0 (W)
  • 2026-06-17T14:30:00.000Z · A vs Bitam · 0-0 (D)

Mangasport

  • 2026-09-12T13:00:00.000Z · A vs African Stars · 0-2 (L)
  • 2026-09-05T14:30:00.000Z · H vs African Stars · 3-1 (W)
  • 2026-07-04T14:30:00.000Z · A vs Stade Mandji · 1-0 (W)
  • 2026-06-30T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Vautour Club · 0-1 (L)
  • 2026-06-27T14:30:00.000Z · A vs US Oyem · 0-1 (L)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Draw/Away, at 66.5%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 48% and over 2.5 goals at 42%.

A 67% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.