Gabon · Championnat D1 · Matchweek 2614:30

0 – 0

Saturday, 4 July 2026

· Analysis updated 21:41 UTC

US Oyem vs Oyem AC Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 0.93 expected goals for US Oyem and 1.15 for Oyem AC, a combined total of 2.08. That distribution gives Oyem AC the largest share of the 1X2 market at 41%, with the draw at 30%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 34% for over 2.5 goals and 41% for both teams to score, with 0–1 the single most likely scoreline at 14%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 41% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Draw/Away

70.7% probability

High confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

0.93 – 1.15

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • US Oyem home form

    11 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Oyem AC away threat

    Scored in 3 of their last 6 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Oyem AC to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 41%, against 29% / 30% / 41% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 0.93 goals for US Oyem and 1.15 for Oyem AC, a combined 2.08 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.

Match result (1X2)

US Oyem win29%
Draw30%
Oyem AC win41%

Double chance 1X

59%

Double chance 12

70%

Double chance X2

71%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals61%
Over 2.5 goals34%
Over 3.5 goals16%
Both teams to score41%

Correct score

  • 0–114.4%
  • 1–113.4%
  • 0–012.6%
  • 1–011.6%
  • 0–28.3%

Recent form

US Oyem

  • 2026-07-04T14:30:00.000Z · H vs Oyem AC · 0-0 (D)
  • 2026-06-30T14:30:00.000Z · A vs FC 105 · 1-0 (W)
  • 2026-06-27T14:30:00.000Z · H vs Mangasport · 1-0 (W)
  • 2026-06-20T14:30:00.000Z · A vs Stade Migoveen · 1-0 (W)
  • 2026-06-17T14:30:00.000Z · A vs Bitam · 0-0 (D)

Oyem AC

  • 2026-07-04T14:30:00.000Z · A vs US Oyem · 0-0 (D)
  • 2026-06-30T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Lozo · 1-0 (W)
  • 2026-06-27T14:30:00.000Z · A vs Ogooue FC · 0-0 (D)
  • 2026-06-20T14:30:00.000Z · H vs Bouenguidi · 2-0 (W)
  • 2026-06-13T14:30:00.000Z · A vs Pélican · 2-1 (W)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Draw/Away, at 70.7%. Its single most likely scoreline is 0–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 41% and over 2.5 goals at 34%.

A 71% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.