· Analysis updated 01:38 UTC
US Oyem vs Stade Mandji Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.30 expected goals for US Oyem and 1.38 for Stade Mandji, a combined total of 2.68. That distribution gives Stade Mandji the largest share of the 1X2 market at 39%, with the draw at 26%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 50% for over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 39% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Draw/Away
64.7% probability
Expected goals
1.30 – 1.38
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
US Oyem home form
11 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Stade Mandji to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 39%, against 35% / 26% / 39% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.30 goals for US Oyem and 1.38 for Stade Mandji, a combined 2.68 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 50% and both teams to score at 54%, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
61%
Double chance 12
74%
Double chance X2
65%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–112.3%
- 0–19.5%
- 1–09.0%
- 1–28.5%
- 2–18.0%
Recent form
US Oyem
- 2026-07-04T14:30:00.000Z · H vs Oyem AC · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-06-30T14:30:00.000Z · A vs FC 105 · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-06-27T14:30:00.000Z · H vs Mangasport · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-06-20T14:30:00.000Z · A vs Stade Migoveen · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-06-17T14:30:00.000Z · A vs Bitam · 0-0 (D)
Stade Mandji
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Draw/Away, at 64.7%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 54% and over 2.5 goals at 50%.
A 65% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.