Stade Nejib Khattab · Analysis updated 11:46 UTC
US Tataouine vs CS Hammam-Lif Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.08 expected goals for US Tataouine and 0.88 for CS Hammam-Lif, a combined total of 1.95. That distribution gives US Tataouine the largest share of the 1X2 market at 40%, with the draw at 31%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 31% for over 2.5 goals and 38% for both teams to score, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 15%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 40% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Home/Draw
70.8% probability
Expected goals
1.08 – 0.88
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
US Tataouine home form
9 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
CS Hammam-Lif away threat
Scored in 2 of their last 4 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates US Tataouine to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 40%, against 40% / 31% / 29% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.08 goals for US Tataouine and 0.88 for CS Hammam-Lif, a combined 1.95 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
71%
Double chance 12
69%
Double chance X2
60%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–015.3%
- 0–014.2%
- 1–113.4%
- 0–112.4%
- 2–08.2%
Recent form
US Tataouine
- 2026-10-18T13:30:00.000Z · H vs Kerkennah · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-10-11T13:30:00.000Z · A vs Sporting Ben Arous · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-10-03T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Stade Soussien · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-09-26T14:00:00.000Z · A vs AS Soliman · 1-4 (L)
- 2026-05-25T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Stade Gabesien · 0-2 (L)
CS Hammam-Lif
- 2026-10-23T13:30:00.000Z · A vs AS Marsa · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-10-18T13:30:00.000Z · H vs Jeunesse Sportive Omrane · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-10-11T13:30:00.000Z · A vs ES Sahel · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-09-20T15:00:00.000Z · A vs US Ben Guerdane · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-09-13T15:00:00.000Z · H vs ES Tunis · 0-1 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Ligue 2 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AS Kasserine | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 12 |
| 2 | Mégrine | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 10 |
| 3 | Korba | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 9 |
| 4 | EM Mahdia | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 |
| 5 | M'saken | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 |
| 6 | Ksour Essef | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 |
| 7 | CS Chebba | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 |
| 8 | Jendouba Sport | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 |
| 9 | US Tataouine | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 7 |
| 10 | Bouchamma | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 7 |
| 11 | Redeyef | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 |
| 12 | Kalaâ Sport | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6 |
| 13 | Sfax Railways | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
| 14 | JS Kairouanaise | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 |
| 15 | AS Soliman | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 |
| 16 | Sporting Ben Arous | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 |
| 17 | Ariana | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 |
| 18 | Stade Gabesien | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 |
| 19 | BS Bouhajla | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | -2 | 5 |
| 20 | Stade Soussien | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 |
| 21 | Olympique du Kef | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 4 |
| 22 | EGS Gafsa | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -2 | 3 |
| 23 | AS Agareb | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | -3 | 3 |
| 24 | Béni-Khalled | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -2 | 2 |
| 25 | AS Gabes | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -3 | 1 |
| 26 | Kerkennah | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -3 | 1 |
| 27 | Moknine | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -7 | 1 |
| 28 | CO Medenine | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -8 | 0 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 70.8%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–0.
It puts both teams scoring at 38% and over 2.5 goals at 31%.
A 71% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.