Al-Fateh Stadium · Analysis updated 10:07 UTC
UTS Rabat vs Wydad AC Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 0.95 expected goals for UTS Rabat and 1.00 for Wydad AC, a combined total of 1.95. That distribution gives Wydad AC the largest share of the 1X2 market at 36%, with the draw at 31%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 31% for over 2.5 goals and 39% for both teams to score, with 0–0 the single most likely scoreline at 14%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 36% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Draw/Away
67.0% probability
Expected goals
0.95 – 1.00
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Wydad AC away threat
Scored in 2 of their last 4 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Wydad AC to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 36%, against 33% / 31% / 36% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 0.95 goals for UTS Rabat and 1.00 for Wydad AC, a combined 1.95 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 31% and both teams to score at 39%, with 0–0 the single most likely scoreline at 14%.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
64%
Double chance 12
69%
Double chance X2
67%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 0–014.2%
- 0–114.2%
- 1–013.5%
- 1–113.5%
- 0–27.1%
Recent form
UTS Rabat
Wydad AC
- 2026-10-24T18:00:00.000Z · A vs UTS Rabat · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-10-18T20:00:00.000Z · H vs Amal Tiznit · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-10-11T20:00:00.000Z · H vs CODM Meknès · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-10-03T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Difaa EL Jadida · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-09-26T20:00:00.000Z · H vs Widad Témara · 1-3 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Botola Pro table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CODM Meknès | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 10 |
| 2 | Kawkab Marrakech | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 10 |
| 3 | Wydad AC | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 |
| 4 | Hassania Agadir | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7 |
| 5 | Ittihad Tanger | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 |
| 6 | Maghreb Fès | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 |
| 7 | Difaa EL Jadida | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7 |
| 8 | UTS Rabat | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7 |
| 9 | Widad Témara | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 6 |
| 10 | Raja Casablanca | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 |
| 11 | FUS Rabat | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -1 | 5 |
| 12 | FAR Rabat | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 |
| 13 | Amal Tiznit | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -5 | 4 |
| 14 | Renaissance Berkane | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| 15 | Moghreb Tetouan | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -6 | 3 |
| 16 | CR Khemis Zemamra | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -6 | 1 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Draw/Away, at 67.0%. Its single most likely scoreline is 0–0.
It puts both teams scoring at 39% and over 2.5 goals at 31%.
A 67% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.