UWC W vs TS Galaxy W Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.03 expected goals for UWC W and 1.64 for TS Galaxy W, a combined total of 2.66. That distribution gives TS Galaxy W the largest share of the 1X2 market at 52%, with the draw at 25%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 50% for over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 52% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

TS Galaxy W win

51.5% probability

Low confidenceLow data42/100

Expected goals

1.03 – 1.64

Model version

poisson-v2

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

UWC W home form
12 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
TS Galaxy W away threat
Scored in 2 of their last 4 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates TS Galaxy W to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 52%, against 24% / 25% / 52% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.03 goals for UWC W and 1.64 for TS Galaxy W, a combined 2.66 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

UWC W win24%

Draw25%

TS Galaxy W win52%

Double chance 1X

48%

Double chance 12

75%

Double chance X2

76%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals75%

Over 2.5 goals50%

Over 3.5 goals28%

Both teams to score52%

Correct score

1–111.7%
0–111.4%
1–29.6%
0–29.3%
1–07.2%

Recent form

UWC W

2026-09-19T07:00:00.000Z · A vs Stellenbosch W · 3-0 (W)
2026-09-12T09:00:00.000Z · H vs TS Galaxy W · 3-0 (W)
2026-09-05T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Richmond United W · 3-0 (W)
2026-08-23T09:30:00.000Z · A vs Diepkloof W · 1-0 (W)
2026-07-12T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Copperbelt Ladies W · 1-0 (W)

TS Galaxy W

2026-09-12T09:00:00.000Z · A vs UWC Ladies · 0-3 (L)
2026-09-06T09:30:00.000Z · H vs Pretoria U. W · 0-3 (L)
2026-08-22T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Stellenbosch W · 2-0 (W)
2026-07-12T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Mamelodi Sundowns W · 0-2 (L)
2026-07-05T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Richmond United W · 1-0 (W)

Head-to-head

2026-09-12T09:00:00.000Z · UWC W 3-0 TS Galaxy W (Super League Women)
2026-05-23T13:00:00.000Z · UWC W 2-2 TS Galaxy W (Super League Women)

Super League Women table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Mamelodi Sundowns W	5	5	0	0	21	15
2	JVW FC W	6	4	2	0	13	14
3	TS Galaxy W	6	4	1	1	7	13
4	University of Johannesburg W	6	3	2	1	5	11
5	Tshwane University W	6	3	2	1	4	11
6	Pretoria U. W	6	3	1	2	1	10
7	Ramatlaohle W	6	3	1	2	0	10
8	UWC W	6	3	1	2	-3	10
9	Copperbelt Ladies W	5	3	0	2	0	9
10	University of Fort Hare W	6	1	4	1	0	7
11	Richmond United W	6	2	1	3	-5	7
12	Ezemvelo W	6	2	0	4	-4	6
13	First Touch W	6	1	3	2	-4	6
14	Diepkloof W	6	1	0	5	-10	3
15	Stellenbosch W	6	0	0	6	-11	0
16	City Lads W	6	0	0	6	-14	0

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is TS Galaxy W win, at 51.5%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 52% and over 2.5 goals at 50%.

A 52% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Methodology Results Log

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.