Fu Jen Catholic University · Analysis updated 12:40 UTC
Uzbekistan U17 vs Palestine U17 Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.01 expected goals for Uzbekistan U17 and 1.15 for Palestine U17, a combined total of 3.16. That distribution gives Uzbekistan U17 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 57%, with the draw at 21%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 61% for over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 57% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Uzbekistan U17 win
57.3% probability
Expected goals
2.01 – 1.15
Model version
poisson-v1
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Uzbekistan U17 home form
7 points from their last 3 home matches in our dataset.
Palestine U17 away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 4 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Uzbekistan U17 to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 57%, against 57% / 21% / 21% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.01 goals for Uzbekistan U17 and 1.15 for Palestine U17, a combined 3.16 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
79%
Double chance 12
79%
Double chance X2
43%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–19.9%
- 1–19.8%
- 2–08.6%
- 1–08.5%
- 3–16.6%
Recent form
Uzbekistan U17
- 2026-05-19T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Japan U17 · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-05-16T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Korea Republic U17 · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-05-13T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Australia U17 · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-05-10T17:00:00.000Z · A vs India U17 · 3-0 (W)
- 2025-11-18T12:30:00.000Z · A vs Italy U17 · 2-3 (L)
Palestine U17
- 2025-11-30T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Chinese Taipei U17 · 3-1 (W)
- 2025-11-28T11:00:00.000Z · H vs IR Iran U17 · 1-3 (L)
- 2025-11-24T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Lebanon U17 · 1-1 (D)
- 2025-11-22T14:00:00.000Z · H vs India U17 · 1-1 (D)
- 2024-10-27T09:30:00.000Z · A vs Chinese Taipei U17 · 2-0 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Uzbekistan U17 win, at 57.3%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 59% and over 2.5 goals at 61%.
A 57% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.