Rheinpark Stadion · Analysis updated 16:35 UTC
Vaduz II vs Ruggell Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.09 expected goals for Vaduz II and 1.45 for Ruggell, a combined total of 3.54. That distribution gives Vaduz II the largest share of the 1X2 market at 52%, with the draw at 21%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 69% for over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 52% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Vaduz II win
52.4% probability
Expected goals
2.09 – 1.45
Model version
poisson-v1
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Vaduz II home form
1 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Vaduz II to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 52%, against 52% / 21% / 27% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.09 goals for Vaduz II and 1.45 for Ruggell, a combined 3.54 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 69% and both teams to score at 67%, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
74%
Double chance 12
79%
Double chance X2
48%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–19.2%
- 1–18.8%
- 2–26.7%
- 3–16.4%
- 1–26.4%
Recent form
Vaduz II
- 2026-08-26T18:15:00.000Z · A vs Triesen · 8-0 (W)
- 2025-10-15T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Eschen / Mauren · 0-0 (D)
- 2024-10-30T19:00:00.000Z · H vs Eschen / Mauren · 1-3 (L)
- 2024-09-17T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Balzers II · 5-0 (W)
- 2023-08-23T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Balzers · 0-1 (L)
Ruggell
- 2025-10-29T19:00:00.000Z · H vs Eschen / Mauren · 0-1 (L)
- 2025-09-17T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Schaan · 4-1 (W)
- 2024-10-30T19:00:00.000Z · H vs Balzers · 1-2 (L)
- 2024-09-10T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Vaduz III · 8-0 (W)
- 2023-08-22T18:00:00.000Z · H vs FC Vaduz · 1-8 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Cup table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vaduz II | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 6 |
| 2 | Balzers II | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 6 |
| 3 | Ruggell II | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 6 |
| 4 | Schaan II | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 6 |
| 5 | Triesenberg | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 6 | Triesen II | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 7 | Schaan | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 8 | Vaduz III | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 9 | Eschen / Mauren II | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3 | 0 |
| 10 | Ruggell III | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -4 | 0 |
| 11 | Eschen / Mauren III | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -5 | 0 |
| 12 | Balzers III | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -6 | 0 |
| 13 | Triesenberg II | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -6 | 0 |
| 14 | Triesen | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -8 | 0 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Vaduz II win, at 52.4%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 67% and over 2.5 goals at 69%.
A 52% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.