· Analysis updated 15:38 UTC
Valenii de Munte vs Kids Tâmpa Braşov Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.63 expected goals for Valenii de Munte and 0.98 for Kids Tâmpa Braşov, a combined total of 3.60. That distribution gives Valenii de Munte the largest share of the 1X2 market at 73%, with the draw at 16%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 70% for over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score, with 2–0 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 73% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Valenii de Munte win
72.6% probability
Expected goals
2.63 – 0.98
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Valenii de Munte home form
4 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Valenii de Munte to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 73%, against 73% / 16% / 12% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.63 goals for Valenii de Munte and 0.98 for Kids Tâmpa Braşov, a combined 3.60 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 70% and both teams to score at 58%, with 2–0 the single most likely scoreline at 9%.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
88%
Double chance 12
84%
Double chance X2
27%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–09.4%
- 2–19.2%
- 3–08.2%
- 3–18.0%
- 1–07.2%
Recent form
Valenii de Munte
- 2026-09-23T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Săcele · 4-3 (W)
- 2026-09-19T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Tricolorul Breaza · 5-1 (W)
- 2026-09-12T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Carpati Covasna · 3-1 (W)
- 2026-09-05T14:00:00.000Z · H vs ARO Muscelul Câmpulung · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-08-28T15:00:00.000Z · A vs ACS Mediaş 2022 · 0-3 (L)
Kids Tâmpa Braşov
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Liga III - Serie 2 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Corona Braşov | 10 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 29 | 26 |
| 2 | ACS Mediaş 2022 | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 23 |
| 3 | Baicoi | 10 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 17 | 22 |
| 4 | Olimpic Zărneşti | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | -5 | 19 |
| 5 | Inter Sibiu | 10 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 18 |
| 6 | Sepsi II | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | -1 | 15 |
| 7 | Săcele | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | -1 | 15 |
| 8 | ARO Muscelul Câmpulung | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 13 |
| 9 | Valenii de Munte | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | -1 | 13 |
| 10 | Tricolorul Breaza | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | -18 | 4 |
| 11 | Kids Tâmpa Braşov | 10 | 1 | 0 | 9 | -15 | 3 |
| 12 | Carpati Covasna | 10 | 0 | 1 | 9 | -30 | 1 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Valenii de Munte win, at 72.6%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–0.
It puts both teams scoring at 58% and over 2.5 goals at 70%.
A 73% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.