Norway · 3. Division - Girone 1 · Matchweek 1617:00
Vålerenga IILWWWL

4 – 3

Sunday, 16 August 2026

IF ReadyLWWLW

Intility Arena · Analysis updated 17:36 UTC

Vålerenga II vs IF Ready Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 2.22 expected goals for Vålerenga II and 2.58 for IF Ready, a combined total of 4.80. That distribution gives IF Ready the largest share of the 1X2 market at 47%, with the draw at 19%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 86% for over 2.5 goals and 82% for both teams to score, with 2–2 the single most likely scoreline at 7%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 47% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

IF Ready win

47.1% probability

Low confidenceLow data42/100

Expected goals

2.22 – 2.58

Model version

poisson-v2

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Vålerenga II home form

    15 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • IF Ready away threat

    Scored in 4 of their last 4 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates IF Ready to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 47%, against 34% / 19% / 47% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 2.22 goals for Vålerenga II and 2.58 for IF Ready, a combined 4.80 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Vålerenga II win34%
Draw19%
IF Ready win47%

Double chance 1X

53%

Double chance 12

81%

Double chance X2

66%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals95%
Over 2.5 goals86%
Over 3.5 goals70%
Both teams to score82%

Correct score

  • 2–26.7%
  • 1–26.1%
  • 2–35.8%
  • 1–35.2%
  • 2–15.2%

Recent form

Vålerenga II

  • 2026-10-10T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Frigg · 4-1 (W)
  • 2026-10-03T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Nordstrand · 3-0 (W)
  • 2026-09-26T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Bærum · 2-0 (W)
  • 2026-09-19T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Ullern · 1-2 (L)
  • 2026-09-12T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Gamle Oslo · 2-1 (W)

IF Ready

  • 2026-10-10T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Union Carl Berner · 4-0 (W)
  • 2026-10-04T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Bærum · 2-1 (W)
  • 2026-09-26T11:00:00.000Z · H vs SF Grei · 2-3 (L)
  • 2026-09-21T17:00:00.000Z · A vs KFUM II · 5-2 (W)
  • 2026-09-12T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Ullern · 4-3 (W)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

3. Division - Girone 1 table

Full league page →
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Asker2421124964
2Heming2414552447
3Gamle Oslo2414282744
4Vålerenga II2413110-940
5IF Ready2411671439
6Bærum24122102038
7Union Carl Berner2412210838
8Frigg24969-533
9Lokomotiv Oslo249213-2229
10KFUM II248412-1328
11SF Grei248115-2925
12Ullern247215-1923
13Nordstrand246216-1820
14Konnerud245217-2717

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is IF Ready win, at 47.1%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–2.

It puts both teams scoring at 82% and over 2.5 goals at 86%.

A 47% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.