Vanlose Idraetspark · Analysis updated 06:36 UTC
Vanløse vs Brønshøj Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.40 expected goals for Vanløse and 1.23 for Brønshøj, a combined total of 2.63. That distribution gives Vanløse the largest share of the 1X2 market at 41%, with the draw at 26%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 49% for over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 41% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Home/Draw
67.1% probability
Expected goals
1.40 – 1.23
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Vanløse home form
9 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Brønshøj away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 4 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Vanløse to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 41%, against 41% / 26% / 33% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.40 goals for Vanløse and 1.23 for Brønshøj, a combined 2.63 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
67%
Double chance 12
74%
Double chance X2
59%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–112.4%
- 1–010.1%
- 0–18.8%
- 2–18.7%
- 1–27.6%
Recent form
Vanløse
- 2026-10-17T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Næsby · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-10-10T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Holbæk B&I · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-10-03T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Sundby · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-09-26T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Brønshøj · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-19T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Hørsholm-Usserød · 1-1 (D)
Brønshøj
- 2026-09-26T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Vanløse · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-19T12:00:00.000Z · H vs ASA Aarhus · 5-1 (W)
- 2026-09-13T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Ringsted · 3-1 (W)
- 2026-09-04T17:00:00.000Z · H vs FC Helsingor · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-08-29T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Hørsholm-Usserød · 2-0 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
3. Division table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Holbæk B&I | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 26 |
| 2 | Brønshøj | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 25 |
| 3 | Vanløse | 12 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 7 | 21 |
| 4 | FC Helsingor | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 21 |
| 5 | Næsby | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 18 |
| 6 | Hørsholm-Usserød | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 16 |
| 7 | Sundby | 13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 16 |
| 8 | ASA Aarhus | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | -2 | 16 |
| 9 | Frem | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 14 |
| 10 | Ishøj | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | -8 | 14 |
| 11 | Holstebro | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | -12 | 13 |
| 12 | Ringsted | 12 | 1 | 2 | 9 | -19 | 5 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 67.1%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 53% and over 2.5 goals at 49%.
A 67% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.