· Analysis updated 06:11 UTC
Vanløse vs Nykobing FC Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.65 expected goals for Vanløse and 2.10 for Nykobing FC, a combined total of 3.75. That distribution gives Nykobing FC the largest share of the 1X2 market at 48%, with the draw at 21%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 72% for over 2.5 goals and 71% for both teams to score, with 1–2 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 48% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Nykobing FC win
48.4% probability
Expected goals
1.65 – 2.10
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Vanløse home form
9 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Nykobing FC away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 4 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Nykobing FC to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 48%, against 31% / 21% / 48% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.65 goals for Vanløse and 2.10 for Nykobing FC, a combined 3.75 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
52%
Double chance 12
79%
Double chance X2
69%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–28.6%
- 1–18.1%
- 2–27.1%
- 2–16.7%
- 1–36.0%
Recent form
Vanløse
- 2026-10-17T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Næsby · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-10-10T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Holbæk B&I · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-10-03T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Sundby · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-09-26T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Brønshøj · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-19T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Hørsholm-Usserød · 1-1 (D)
Nykobing FC
- 2026-08-14T17:00:00.000Z · H vs B 93 · 4-0 (W)
- 2026-08-08T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Skive · 3-2 (W)
- 2026-08-04T17:00:00.000Z · H vs B 93 · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-07-31T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Fremad Amager · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-07-18T10:00:00.000Z · A vs Sundby · 3-1 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Nykobing FC win, at 48.4%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–2.
It puts both teams scoring at 71% and over 2.5 goals at 72%.
A 48% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.